Daily picks

Botafogo SP vs Vila Nova FC

Country

Brazil

League

Serie B

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 00:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Model (high quality) gives 80% for this market. Vila Nova FC last 10: 6-2-2 (W-D-L) vs Botafogo SP 3-2-5; table rank 2 vs 16; H2H from Vila Nova FC's side, latest first: WLWDLWWLWW. Main risk: Botafogo SP won 2 of the last 5 meetings.

Richmond Kickers vs One Knoxville

Country

USA

League

USL League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 01:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Model (high quality) gives 83% for this market. One Knoxville last 10: 3-6-1 (W-D-L) vs Richmond Kickers 2-2-6; table rank 4 vs 17; H2H from One Knoxville's side, latest first: WLLWLDDD. Main risk: Richmond won two of the last four meetings.

Detroit vs Birmingham

Country

USA

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 02:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Model (high quality) gives 86% for this market. Detroit last 10: 4-5-1 (W-D-L) vs Birmingham 2-3-5; table rank 3 vs 10; H2H from Detroit's side, latest first: WDDWLWWWW. Main risk: Detroit draw a lot (5 in their last 10), but a defeat is still possible.

Brooklyn vs Rhode Island

Country

USA

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 02:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Model (high quality) gives 82% for this market. Rhode Island last 10: 4-1-5 (W-D-L) vs Brooklyn 1-2-7; table rank 7 vs 12; H2H from Rhode Island's side, latest first: DW. Main risk: Rhode Island are only 4-1-5 in their last 10.

Tampa Bay vs Miami FC

Country

USA

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Model (high quality) gives 89% for this market. Tampa Bay last 10: 5-3-2 (W-D-L) vs Miami FC 3-3-4; table rank 1 vs 9; H2H from Tampa Bay's side, latest first: WWWDWWWWWW. Main risk: Miami FC have three draws and three wins in their last 10, so they can nick a result.

Fort Wayne vs Forward Madison

Country

USA

League

USL League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model (high quality) gives 78% for this market. Forward Madison last 10: 4-4-2 (W-D-L) vs Fort Wayne 3-2-5; table rank 3 vs 8; H2H from Forward Madison's side, latest first: D. Main risk: The H2H sample is a single draw.

Sarasota Paradise vs Charlotte Independ.

Country

USA

League

USL League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Model (high quality) gives 75% for this market, xG 1.74-1.82; Sarasota Paradise and Charlotte Independ.: BTTS in 9/10 and 8/10 of their last games. Main risk: Charlotte away matches have produced BTTS less often, and the H2H sample is one game.

FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic

Country

USA

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 03:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Model (high quality) gives 76% for this market, xG 0.98-0.88; FC Tulsa and Sacramento Republic: under 2.5 in 7/10 and 7/10 of their last games. Main risk: One early goal can open the game up, since both sides are playoff-chasing.

Colorado Springs vs Oakland Roots

Country

USA

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 04:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Model (high quality) gives 75% for this market. Colorado Springs last 10: 4-3-3 (W-D-L) vs Oakland Roots 3-3-4; table rank 6 vs 10; H2H from Colorado Springs's side, latest first: WWWWWWWLDW. Main risk: Colorado Springs are 4-3-3 and Oakland can score in transition.

Shimane vs Diamond Dolphins

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 07:10 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Diamond Dolphins won all five September-October games, including 85-73 at Shimane on October 3 and away wins by 12 and 30 against Brave Thunders. Shimane are 2-2 in the current sample. Repeated current away wins support the estimate more than the model's 58%, which mixes older results. Main risk: this is a next-day rematch at Shimane, who beat Nagasaki twice and won one of the December 2025 home H2Hs; five current games remain a limited sample.

Alexandrova E. vs Shnaider D.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Alexandrova took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court matches, including her current 2-0 win over Sasnovich and an August win over Sabalenka. She took a set in both supplied 2025 hard-court H2Hs against Shnaider, winning one 2-0. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Shnaider is higher ranked, won seven of ten comparable matches and just beat Tjen 2-0, with earlier wins over Pegula and Chwalinska. Alexandrova lost 0-2 to Kostyuk. The H2Hs are a year old and Shnaider's stronger win record argues for the narrower set market.

Saga vs NeoPhoenix

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. NeoPhoenix 8-2 in last 10 and beat Saga 97-61 yesterday in the same venue; won 3 of last 4 H2H; model 79%. Main risk: back-to-back rematch, home side adjusts.

Koshigaya Alphas vs Kagoshima Rebnise

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Koshigaya beat Kagoshima 103-82 yesterday at home and are 6-4 vs Kagoshima's 3-7; model 86%. Main risk: second game of a back-to-back, only one H2H in the sample.

Kagawa Five Arrows vs Fukuoka

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Fukuoka won 105-82 at Kagawa on October 3 and are 2-1 in their three current games, also winning 83-69 at Kagoshima Rebnise. Kagawa lost all four September-October games by 15, 33, 17 and 23 points. The current away results support the estimate below the model's 78%; older H2Hs are given little weight. Main risk: Fukuoka lost their other Kagoshima game 76-84, only three current results are available, and a next-day rematch can change with shooting and rotation.

Tokyo Sunrockers vs Akita

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Tokyo won 90-63 at home against Akita on October 3 and are 2-1 in the current sample, including 95-79 against Chiba. Akita are 2-2, with another heavy loss, 55-81 at Sendai. Tokyo won the latest four listed H2Hs, but current scores are the main support; the model's 87% is reduced substantially. Main risk: Tokyo also lost 92-97 to Chiba, Akita won their other Sendai game 75-73, and the next-day rematch rests on only three current Tokyo games.

Tachikawa Dice vs Kumamoto

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Kumamoto won their latest four games by 21 against Fukui, 33 and 17 against Kagawa, and 23 at Tachikawa on October 3. Tachikawa are 1-3, with losses to Earthfriends Tokyo Z and Kanazawa before the 86-109 direct defeat. The current scoring margins support the estimate; the model's 68% and low quality score are only secondary context. Main risk: Kumamoto's earlier results include a loss to Taiwan Beer Leopards, their wins have come against uneven opposition, and this is an immediate away rematch with just one H2H.

Saga vs NeoPhoenix

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. NeoPhoenix won all four September-October games, all listed away: 100-73 at SeaHorses Mikawa, 90-82 and 81-75 at Ibaraki, then 97-61 at Saga on October 3. Saga lost their latest three games by 13, 28 and 36 points. Current away scoring and defense support the estimate, close to the model's 79%. Main risk: Saga had won their previous two September games and beat NeoPhoenix in October 2025; next-day adjustments and only four current NeoPhoenix results limit confidence.

Koshigaya Alphas vs Kagoshima Rebnise

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Koshigaya won their three current games, 94-60 and 84-80 at Tryhoop Okayama, then 103-82 at home against Kagoshima on October 3. Kagoshima are 1-3, with further defeats to Fukuoka and Goyang Sono. The current direct margin and unbeaten start support the estimate, well below the model's 86%. Main risk: Koshigaya faced only two distinct opponents and one win was by four points; Kagoshima beat Fukuoka 84-76, and a next-day rematch adds uncertainty.

Hurkacz H. vs Khachanov K.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 08:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Hurkacz won seven of eight comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, including current wins over Gea, Tien and Shapovalov. He also beat Harris and Damm; only Davidovich Fokina beat him without conceding a set. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Khachanov just beat Molcan and Auger-Aliassime 2-0, is higher ranked, and won their old 2019 H2H 2-0. Only four current comparable Khachanov matches are supplied. Hurkacz needed three sets in several recent wins, creating workload and serving variance; best-of-five results are excluded.

Bouzas Maneiro J. vs Shubladze A.

Country

China

Tournament

Jingshan

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Shubladze took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court matches and won eight, including her latest four over Jones, Wei, Lu and Saigo. Three of those four current wins were 2-0. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Bouzas Maneiro just won three matches 2-0 and her broader sample includes wins over Vidmanova and Seidel. She is higher ranked and faced stronger opposition than many Shubladze opponents. Shubladze lost 0-2 to Astakhova; no H2H is supplied and model quality is low.

Hiroshima D. vs Kobe

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Hiroshima won all four September-October games, including 89-61 and 100-87 at Saga and 96-73 at home against Kobe on October 2. Kobe are 2-4 in August-October, with defeats to Osaka, Levanga Hokkaido and Chiba as well. Consistent current margins and the same-venue meeting support the estimate above the model's 71%; decade-old H2Hs are not treated as current evidence. Main risk: Kobe beat Osaka and Brave Thunders in September, and four Hiroshima games are a limited sample for a repeat matchup.

Gunma vs Ibaraki Robots

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Gunma 8-2 in last 10 and won 8 of last 10 H2H, including yesterday's game; model 77%. Main risk: yesterday's win was only 72-71.

Aomori vs Iwate

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Iwate won 102-66 at Aomori yesterday and 3 of last 4 H2H; Aomori 2-8 in last 10; model 77%. Main risk: Aomori beat Iwate 76-73 in February.

Aomori vs Iwate

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Iwate won their latest three games, beating Yamagata 86-75 and 85-73 before winning 102-66 at Aomori on October 3. Aomori are 1-3 in September-October and also lost 80-89 to Yamagata. The common opponent and current direct result support the estimate; the model's matching 77% is secondary. Main risk: Iwate lost 74-99 at Sendai earlier in September, Aomori beat Ehime by one point, and this is a next-day rematch with four current results per team.

Noskova L. vs Golubic V.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 09:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 81%. Noskova took sets in eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including 2-0 over Ruse on 2 October and wins over Kostyuk, Li and Tararudee. She beat Golubic 2-0 in their April 2026 H2H. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Golubic just beat Stearns 2-1 and Kalieva 2-0 and took sets in seven of nine comparable matches. Noskova lost 0-2 to Anisimova and McNally. The April H2H surface is unspecified, so it is supporting context rather than a same-surface trial.

Vacherot V. vs Fils A.

Country

Japan

Tournament

Tokyo

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 10:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 84%. Fils won all nine comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, including 2-0 over Tiafoe on 2 October and August wins over De Minaur and Lehecka. He beat Vacherot 2-1 in their March 2026 hard-court H2H. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Vacherot just beat Tsitsipas 2-1 and Blockx 2-0, so his current form is better than his two wins in five comparable matches suggest. The opponent sample is small; Fils has needed deciding sets in several wins. Best-of-five results are excluded.

De Minaur A. vs Rublev A.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 10:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. De Minaur took sets in seven of eight comparable hard-court best-of-three matches and won six, including current wins over Halys, Navone and Zverev. Rublev lost 0-2 to Medvedev and Borges in his comparable sample. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Rublev also won six of eight comparable matches, just beat Safiullin and Griekspoor in three sets, and won their latest supplied hard-court H2H 2-1 in February 2025. De Minaur lost 0-2 to Fils. Best-of-five and alternative-format meetings are not counted as comparable trials.

Snigur D. vs Preston T.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 10:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Snigur took sets in seven of nine comparable hard-court matches and won six, including current three-set wins over Paolini and Kawa. She also beat Starodubtseva, Valentova and Tararudee. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Preston won six of ten comparable matches, just beat Parry and Korpatsch 2-0, and beat Ostapenko in September. Snigur lost 0-2 to Shnaider and Tagger. Recent three-set matches add workload, and no H2H is supplied.

Campana Lee G. vs Marino P.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 11:10 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 79%. Campana Lee won eight of ten comparable clay matches, including his latest five and wins over Jong, Gakhov and Giustino. He beat Marino 2-0 in their 4 August clay H2H. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Marino won six of nine comparable matches and took sets in seven, although his latest result was 0-2 against Mikovic. Campana Lee lost 0-2 to Gill and Alcala Gurri. Marino has six comparable wins, and a low-quality, evenly split model limits confidence.

Cocola S. vs Vives Marcos P.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 11:10 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 73%. Vives Marcos took sets in seven of ten comparable clay matches and won six, including wins over Moro Canas, Handel and Visker. Cocola won only two of five comparable matches and lost 0-2 to Vanshelboim and Comino. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Vives Marcos just lost 0-2 to Moro Canas and also lost setless to Talan Lopatic and Dellien. Cocola beat Wessels and took a set from De Marchi in his latest match. The five-match opponent sample is small and no H2H is supplied.

Medvedev D. vs Cerundolo F.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 11:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 82%. Medvedev won all six comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, most recently 2-0 over Struff on 3 October. That run also includes straight-set wins over Carreno-Busta, Rublev and Safiullin. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Cerundolo just beat Mensik 2-0 and Van De Zandschulp 2-1, and beat Medvedev 2-1 in their March hard-court H2H. The six-match Medvedev sample is modest and his recent workload is busy. Best-of-five results are excluded from the counts.

Chinatrust Brothers vs TSG Hawks

Country

Taiwan

League

CPBL - Second stage

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 12:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Brothers won 9 of last 10 H2H against the Hawks (4 straight, by 2-9 runs) and are 7-3 in last 10 vs Hawks 3-7; model 68%. Main risk: single-game baseball variance and unknown starting pitchers.

Martin Manzano J. C. vs Pieri S.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Bari

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 12:10 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 77%. Martin Manzano took sets in eight of ten comparable clay matches and won seven. His latest four wins were all 2-0, over Donald, Dalla Valle, Clarke and Sciahbasi; he also beat Pieri 2-0 on 21 September. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Pieri also won seven of ten comparable matches and his latest four, including wins over Sachko and Taberner. He beat Martin Manzano 2-0 in July 2025. Martin Manzano lost 0-2 to Barrena and Campana Lee; both players have strong current form.

Golovina M. vs Micic E.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 12:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 72%. Golovina took sets in all six comparable hard-court matches and won her latest five. Micic lost five of ten comparable matches without a set, including recent defeats to Galfi and Andreeva. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Golovina's six-match sample is modest and her five wins came against opponents ranked 449 or lower. Micic is higher ranked and beat Riera and Shinikova. No H2H is supplied; the opposition-quality gap keeps this estimate cautious.

BA Sparta W vs KP Brno B W

Country

Czech Republic

League

1. Liga Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 12:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. KP Brno B W lost 57-35 last weekend and by 40-50 points in spring; Sparta won 79-51 in the last H2H; model 87%. Main risk: KP Brno B W beat Sparta 80-50 in October 2025.

Lehecka J. vs Vallejo D.

Country

Japan

Tournament

Tokyo

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 12:50 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Vallejo took sets in seven of eight comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, including his latest four wins. The current run includes 2-0 wins over Berrettini and Jodar, plus wins over Faria and Daniel. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Lehecka is higher ranked, took sets in six of seven comparable matches, and just beat Humbert and Bergs in three sets. Vallejo lost 0-2 to Van De Zandschulp. The sample is modest, no H2H is supplied, and best-of-five results are excluded.

Zaragoza W vs Estepona W

Country

Spain

League

Liga Femenina Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 13:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Zaragoza won all 4 H2H (90-49 and 84-68 in May); Estepona lost both recent games to San Giovanni; model 83%. Main risk: Zaragoza lost 3 of last 4, all to top-tier sides.

Sporting CP W vs Benfica W

Country

Portugal

League

LFB Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Benfica 8-2 in last 10, won 73-31 last week and won all 3 H2H by 7-31 points; model 69%. Main risk: away game and Sporting already beat Esgueira at home.

Wallin O. vs Rodenas P.

Country

Portugal

Tournament

Braga

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 13:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 72%. Rodenas took sets in nine of ten comparable clay matches, including wins over Gutierrez, De Krom and Vives Marcos. Wallin lost his latest two supplied clay matches 0-2 to Donald and Kolar. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Rodenas lost 1-2 to Ifi on 1 October and many wins came against lower-ranked opponents. Wallin is higher ranked, won six of ten comparable matches, and beat Gombos. No H2H is supplied.

Tikhonova A. vs Tkacheva M.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 13:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 74%. Tikhonova took sets in seven of ten comparable hard-court matches, including wins over Hruncakova, Hibino and Semenistaja. Those opponents were stronger than much of Tkacheva's recent winning opposition; supplied ranks are 256 versus 663. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Tkacheva took sets in nine of ten comparable matches and won six, though her latest supplied result is from 16 September. Tikhonova won only five of ten, lost 0-2 to Gasanova, Quevedo and Osuigwe, and just lost 1-2 to Waltert. No H2H is supplied.

Crawley F. vs Smith A.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 14:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. Crawley took sets in eight of nine comparable hard-court matches and won six, including wins over Noha Akugue, Boisson and Avdeeva. Smith lost three of ten comparable matches without a set, including her latest match against Falkowska. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Crawley just lost 1-2 to Pridankina and previously lost 0-2 to Monnet. Smith also won six comparable matches, including wins over Avdeeva and Aksu. No H2H is supplied and several Crawley wins required deciding sets.

Bejlek S. vs Osaka N.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 14:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 74%. Bejlek took sets in eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including a current 2-0 win over Inglis. Her August wins include Sabalenka, Keys and Alexandrova. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Osaka also won seven of ten comparable matches and took sets in eight, including wins over Mertens, Siniakova and Fernandez. Bejlek lost 0-2 to Bucsa and Gauff; Osaka is higher ranked and just beat Timofeeva in three sets. No H2H is supplied, so the market requires only one set.

Panathinaikos W vs PAOK W

Country

Greece

League

A1 Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Panathinaikos won 10 of 10 H2H, the last four by 6-30 points; model 85%. Main risk: PAOK form data is from last season.

Veles Moscow vs Ulyanovsk

Country

Russia

League

FNL

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Veles Moscow: 9/10 for this total/BTTS market; Ulyanovsk: 7/10 for this total/BTTS market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 3/5. Veles’ latest six totals stayed below four and July’s meeting was 0-2. Ulyanovsk’s two recent 2-2 draws and the April 2025 3-2 meeting are contrary. Main risk: Veles Moscow 3-2 Pari NN (19.08.26); Ufa 2-2 Ulyanovsk (13.09.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Temp Sumz Revda vs Barnaul

Country

Russia

League

Super League

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Temp won 9 of last 10 H2H and opened with a 105-77 win; Barnaul 1-9 in last 10; model 89%. Main risk: two of the last four H2H were decided by 3-4 points.

Nadezhda W vs Ivanovo W

Country

Russia

League

Premier League Women

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Nadezhda won all 10 H2H, the last two by 24 and 26 points; Ivanovo lost the opener to UMMC; model 76%. Main risk: Nadezhda have no competitive game since April.

CSKA Moscow (RUS) vs Arsenal Tula (RUS)

Country

World

League

Club Friendly

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. CSKA Moscow (RUS): 7/10 for this total/BTTS market; Arsenal Tula (RUS): 8/10 for this total/BTTS market. Relevant home/away samples: 3/6 and 5/7. CSKA’s latest seven reached at least two goals and Tula’s latest three did too; July’s meeting was 1-1. Both sides also have recent 0-0 or 1-0 results. Main risk: CSKA Moscow 0-1 Akron Togliatti (18.08.26); Tekstilshtik 1-0 Arsenal Tula (08.09.26); unconfirmed friendly lineups and differing opponents.

Real Sociedad B vs Granada CF

Country

Spain

League

LaLiga2

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Real Sociedad B: 8/10 for this total/BTTS market; Granada CF: 9/10 for this total/BTTS market. Relevant home/away samples: 1/3 and 5/6. Granada’s latest six results reached at least two goals, as did both direct meetings. Real Sociedad B’s two 0-1 home losses and youth-opponent results reduce the estimate. Main risk: Real Sociedad B 0-1 Mallorca (19.09.26); Oviedo 0-0 Granada CF (15.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Nijboer R. vs Hipfl N.

Country

Portugal

Tournament

Braga

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:10 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 76%. Nijboer took sets in eight of ten comparable clay matches and won seven, including wins over Delage, Jong and Parisca. Hipfl lost his latest two supplied matches 0-2 to Marti Pujolras and Aubriot. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Nijboer just lost 0-2 to Ritschard on 3 October and must recover for another match. Hipfl won five of ten comparable matches, including a win over Barton, and took a set from Barrena. No H2H is supplied; the latest Nijboer defeat limits confidence.

Parisca I. vs Ghetu G.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:15 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 72%. Parisca took sets in seven of ten comparable clay matches and won six, including wins over Marti Pujolras and Planinsek. Ghetu lost three of nine comparable matches without a set, including against Tabata, Turcanu and Breazu. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Ghetu won six of nine comparable matches and is higher ranked. Parisca just lost 1-2 to Agamenone and had setless defeats to Gakhov, Nijboer and Milev. No H2H is supplied; both samples include lower-level opposition and the edge is modest.

Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket

Country

Turkey

League

Super Lig

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Fenerbahce won 9 of last 10 H2H, including both recent home games, and won 4 of the last 5 games, including EuroLeague-level opponents; model 76%. Main risk: Korfez beat Fenerbahce 82-70 in preseason in August.

Melo M. / Zverev A. vs Cash J. / Glasspool L.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Cash / Glasspool took sets in eight of nine comparable hard-court matches as a pair and won six, including their latest match 2-0 over Khachanov / Rublev. They also beat Krajicek / Mektic and Bhambri / Venus. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Melo / Zverev just beat Frantzen / Haase 2-0, and only four current completed pair matches are supplied. Cash / Glasspool lost 0-2 to Krawietz / Puetz. Their 2-0 H2H win in April 2025 was on clay and is secondary; doubles deciding sets add variance.

Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket

Country

Turkey

League

Super Lig

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Fenerbahce won 7 of their latest 10 games and all six listed home games, including 100-76 over Bayern, 78-68 over Virtus Bologna and 76-66 over Dubai. Korfez are 3-2 in August-September. Current home results against strong opposition support the estimate, slightly below the model's 76%. Main risk: Korfez beat Fenerbahce 82-70 on August 29 and just beat Esenler Erokspor 88-79; Fenerbahce played on October 2 and face workload or rotation uncertainty.

Henning P. vs Boogaard T.

Country

Spain

Tournament

Villena

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 15:45 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 74%. Henning took sets in eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including wins over Bertrand and Added. Boogaard lost four of seven comparable matches without a set, including his latest two to Barroso Campos and Renard. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Henning also lost his latest two matches 0-2, to Schoolkate and Deckers. Boogaard won three comparable matches; his two ranked winning opponents were ranked 1429 and 2083, while Nyqvist has no supplied rank. No H2H is supplied, and Henning's recent defeats limit confidence.

Bayern vs Oldenburg

Country

Germany

League

BBL

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Bayern won 8 of last 10 H2H, including the last 4 by 8-14 points; beat Alba 95-61 at home; model 73%. Main risk: Oldenburg are 4-0 in league play and Bayern lost 3 of last 6.

Goverla vs BC Dnipro

Country

Ukraine

League

FBU Superleague

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Dnipro 10-0 in last 10 and won all 10 H2H, including 80-70 at Goverla in March; Goverla 2-8; model 89%. Main risk: early-season roster changes.

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania

Country

Europe

League

UEFA Nations League

Match time

Sun, Oct 04, 16:00 GMT+3