Vacherot V. vs Fils A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 84%. Fils won all nine comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, including 2-0 over Tiafoe on 2 October and August wins over De Minaur and Lehecka. He beat Vacherot 2-1 in their March 2026 hard-court H2H. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Vacherot just beat Tsitsipas 2-1 and Blockx 2-0, so his current form is better than his two wins in five comparable matches suggest. The opponent sample is small; Fils has needed deciding sets in several wins. Best-of-five results are excluded.