Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Portugal vs Norway
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Portugal2-1Norway
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-0
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Portugal favourites at 52% (Norway 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.24, 7 wins in Portugal's last 10 matches to 5 for Norway and 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 56%. Portugal won 2-1, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- Portugal have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 27 Sept 2026, when Portugal won 2-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League

Portugal(7)
W29d
W33d
W36d
L116d
W119d
D124d
W129d
D135d
W142d
W146d

Norway(1)
L29d
L33d
W36d
L110d
W117d
W122d
L126d
W129d
W135d
D145d
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Portugal2-1Norway
- 1ST HALF
- 1-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-0
H2H: 7-2-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Portugal at homeNorway away
75
5/73/5
1/71/5
1/71/5
1.862.00
0.711.20
6/75/5
4/73/5
1/71/5
5/75/5
0/71/5
2/70/5
1/70/5
4/74/5
4/75/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Portugal: 1.83
Expected Goals
Norway: 1.24
Portugal
52%
Draw
21%
Norway
27%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Portugal · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Denmark#2 vs Portugal#1
2-4W
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2W
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0W
06 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Spain#1
0-1L
03 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Croatia#3
2-1W
28 Jun2026
Colombia#1 vs Portugal#1
0-0D
23 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Uzbekistan#4
5-0W
17 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs D.r. Congo#3
1-1D
10 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Nigeria#2
2-1W
06 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Chile
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Norway · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
2-1L
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Denmark#2
3-2W
12 Jul2026
Norway#4 vs England#2
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Brazil#1 vs Norway#4
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Ivory Coast#2 vs Norway#4
1-2W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4L
23 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Senegal#3
3-2W
17 Jun2026
Iraq#4 vs Norway#4
1-4W
07 Jun2026
Morocco#2 vs Norway#4
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2•
29 May2016
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
3-0•
04 Jun2011
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-0•
07 Sept2010
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-0•
10 Sept2003
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-0•
20 Apr2094
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
0-0•
10 Feb2093
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-1•
01 Nov2079
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
3-1•
09 May2079
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
0-1•
12 Nov2067
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
2-1•
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