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Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Portugal vs Norway

Sunday, 04 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Portugal2-1Norway
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Portugal favourites at 52% (Norway 27%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.24, 7 wins in Portugal's last 10 matches to 5 for Norway and 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 56%. Portugal won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Portugal have won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 27 Sept 2026, when Portugal won 2-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
W29d
W33d
W36d
L116d
W119d
D124d
W129d
D135d
W142d
W146d
7W · 2D · 1L
vs
L29d
L33d
W36d
L110d
W117d
W122d
L126d
W129d
W135d
D145d
5W · 1D · 4L
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Portugal2-1Norway
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0
H2H: 7-2-1
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Portugal at homeNorway away
75
5/73/5
1/71/5
1/71/5
1.862.00
0.711.20
6/75/5
4/73/5
1/71/5
5/75/5
0/71/5
2/70/5
1/70/5
4/74/5
4/75/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Portugal: 1.83
Expected Goals
Norway: 1.24
Portugal
52%
Draw
21%
Norway
27%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 56%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Portugal · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Denmark#2 vs Portugal#1
2-4W
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2W
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0W
06 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Spain#1
0-1L
03 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Croatia#3
2-1W
28 Jun2026
Colombia#1 vs Portugal#1
0-0D
23 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Uzbekistan#4
5-0W
17 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs D.r. Congo#3
1-1D
10 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Nigeria#2
2-1W
06 Jun2026
Portugal#1 vs Chile
2-1W
Team 2 Form
Norway · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
2-1L
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Denmark#2
3-2W
12 Jul2026
Norway#4 vs England#2
1-2L
05 Jul2026
Brazil#1 vs Norway#4
1-2W
30 Jun2026
Ivory Coast#2 vs Norway#4
1-2W
26 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs France#1
1-4L
23 Jun2026
Norway#4 vs Senegal#3
3-2W
17 Jun2026
Iraq#4 vs Norway#4
1-4W
07 Jun2026
Morocco#2 vs Norway#4
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-2•
29 May2016
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
3-0•
04 Jun2011
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-0•
07 Sept2010
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
1-0•
10 Sept2003
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-0•
20 Apr2094
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
0-0•
10 Feb2093
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
1-1•
01 Nov2079
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
3-1•
09 May2079
Norway#4 vs Portugal#1
0-1•
12 Nov2067
Portugal#1 vs Norway#4
2-1•

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