Saga vs NeoPhoenix

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. NeoPhoenix won all four September-October games, all listed away: 100-73 at SeaHorses Mikawa, 90-82 and 81-75 at Ibaraki, then 97-61 at Saga on October 3. Saga lost their latest three games by 13, 28 and 36 points. Current away scoring and defense support the estimate, close to the model's 79%. Main risk: Saga had won their previous two September games and beat NeoPhoenix in October 2025; next-day adjustments and only four current NeoPhoenix results limit confidence.