Tennis · Beijing · China · hard
De Minaur A. vs Rublev A.
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score · sets
De Minaur A.2-1Rublev A.
- Set 1
- 1-6
- Set 2
- 6-2
- Set 3
- 6-3
Prediction and result
Before the match, the model gave De Minaur A. a 58% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 10 against No. 24. De Minaur A. won 2-1 in sets, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- De Minaur A. has won 5 matches in a row.
- De Minaur A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- Rublev A. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
- They last met on 6 Dec 2025, when Rublev A. won 3-1.
China•ATP•Beijing•hard
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 10:10
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score · sets
De Minaur A.2-1Rublev A.
- Set 1
- 1-6
- Set 2
- 6-2
- Set 3
- 6-3
Model win probability
De Minaur A.Rublev A.
58%
42%
Head-to-head
4/95/9
10
9 meetings · 8 went to a deciding set
Model Prediction
De Minaur A.
58%
Rublev A.
42%
medium confidenceData 70%hard7 H2H used
◀ De Minaur A.Why the model leansRublev A. ▶
Ranking
+0.37
Surface
-0.15
Form
+0.06
H2H
+0.04
Model v2.3-2026-06
De Minaur A. Form
de Minaur A.
Rublev A. Form
Rublev A.
Head-to-Head
Last 10
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