Tikhonova A. vs Tkacheva M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Tikhonova took sets in seven of ten comparable hard-court matches, including wins over Hruncakova, Hibino and Semenistaja. Those opponents were stronger than much of Tkacheva's recent winning opposition; supplied ranks are 256 versus 663. Comparable counts use supplied completed hard best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Tkacheva took sets in nine of ten comparable matches and won six, though her latest supplied result is from 16 September. Tikhonova won only five of ten, lost 0-2 to Gasanova, Quevedo and Osuigwe, and just lost 1-2 to Waltert. No H2H is supplied.