Cocola S. vs Vives Marcos P.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Vives Marcos took sets in seven of ten comparable clay matches and won six, including wins over Moro Canas, Handel and Visker. Cocola won only two of five comparable matches and lost 0-2 to Vanshelboim and Comino. Comparable counts use supplied completed clay best-of-three results from 21 July to 4 October, excluding incomplete scores. Main risk: Vives Marcos just lost 0-2 to Moro Canas and also lost setless to Talan Lopatic and Dellien. Cocola beat Wessels and took a set from De Marchi in his latest match. The five-match opponent sample is small and no H2H is supplied.