SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

Netherlands vs Serbia

Sunday, 04 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Netherlands2-1Serbia
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Netherlands favourites at 67% (Serbia 16%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 0.95. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 62%. Netherlands won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • Netherlands are unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • Serbia have lost 5 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 27 Sept 2026, when Netherlands won 2-1.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
D25d
W29d
D32d
D118d
W122d
W128d
D134d
W140d
L145d
D209d
4W · 5D · 1L
vs
L25d
L29d
L32d
L143d
L148d
W209d
L213d
W344d
L347d
W377d
3W · 0D · 7L
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Netherlands2-1Serbia
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
1-0
H2H: 1-0-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Netherlands at homeSerbia away
76
2/71/6
4/70/6
1/75/6
1.710.67
1.142.67
6/72/6
3/71/6
1/71/6
7/76/6
1/75/6
0/70/6
1/74/6
3/74/6
6/72/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Netherlands: 2.19
Expected Goals
Serbia: 0.95
Netherlands
67%
Draw
17%
Serbia
16%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Netherlands · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Greece#2 vs Netherlands#1
2-2D
27 Sept2026
Serbia#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-2W
24 Sept2026
Netherlands#1 vs Germany#3
1-1D
30 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Morocco#2
1-1D
26 Jun2026
Tunisia#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-3W
20 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Sweden#3
5-1W
14 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Japan#2
2-2D
08 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Uzbekistan#4
2-1W
03 Jun2026
Netherlands#1 vs Algeria#3
0-1L
31 Mar2026
Netherlands#1 vs Ecuador#3
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Serbia · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Germany#3 vs Serbia#4
2-0L
27 Sept2026
Serbia#4 vs Netherlands#1
1-2L
24 Sept2026
Serbia#4 vs Greece#2
1-2L
05 Jun2026
Mexico#1 vs Serbia#4
5-1L
31 May2026
Cape Verde#2 vs Serbia#4
3-0L
31 Mar2026
Serbia#4 vs Saudi Arabia#4
2-1W
27 Mar2026
Spain#1 vs Serbia#4
3-0L
16 Nov2025
Serbia#4 vs Latvia
2-1W
13 Nov2025
England#2 vs Serbia#4
2-0L
14 Oct2025
Andorra#18 vs Serbia#4
1-3W

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.