Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe
Wales vs Denmark
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Wales0-1Denmark
- 1ST HALF
- 0-0
- 2ND HALF
- 0-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Denmark favourites at 40% (Wales 39%, draw 21%). That rests on 4 wins from the last 5 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 58% and both teams scoring at 58%. Denmark won 1-0, as the model expected.
Key facts before the match
- They last met on 27 Sept 2026, when Denmark won 2-0.
Europe•UEFA Nations League

Wales(3)
W29d
L33d
L36d
L146d
D150d
D213d
D218d
W346d
W349d
L382d

Denmark(7)
L29d
W33d
L36d
W145d
D149d
D213d
W218d
L346d
D349d
W383d
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 21:45
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Wales0-1Denmark
- 1ST HALF
- 0-0
- 2ND HALF
- 0-1
H2H: 3-0-7
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Wales at homeDenmark away
64
2/60/4
3/62/4
1/62/4
2.331.50
1.502.25
6/63/4
3/63/4
1/60/4
6/63/4
1/63/4
0/61/4
0/61/4
3/63/4
6/63/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Wales: 1.72
Expected Goals
Denmark: 1.75
Wales
39%
Draw
21%
Denmark
40%
Over 2.5: 58%
BTTS: 58%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Wales · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Wales#3 vs Norway#4
2-1W
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0L
24 Sept2026
Portugal#1 vs Wales#3
1-0L
06 Jun2026
Romania#1 vs Wales#3
2-1L
02 Jun2026
Wales#3 vs Ghana#3
1-1D
31 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Northern Ireland
1-1D
26 Mar2026
Wales#3 vs Bosnia & Herzegovina#3
1-1D
18 Nov2025
Wales#3 vs North Macedonia
7-1W
15 Nov2025
Liechtenstein vs Wales#3
0-1W
13 Oct2025
Wales#3 vs Belgium#3
2-4L
Team 2 Form
Denmark · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Denmark#2 vs Portugal#1
2-4L
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0W
24 Sept2026
Norway#4 vs Denmark#2
3-2L
07 Jun2026
Denmark#2 vs Ukraine#4
2-1W
03 Jun2026
D.r. Congo#3 vs Denmark#2
0-0D
31 Mar2026
Czech Republic#4 vs Denmark#2
2-2D
26 Mar2026
Denmark#2 vs North Macedonia
4-0W
18 Nov2025
Scotland#3 vs Denmark#2
4-2L
15 Nov2025
Denmark#2 vs Belarus
2-2D
12 Oct2025
Denmark#2 vs Greece#2
3-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0•
26 Jun2021
Wales#3 vs Denmark#2
0-4•
16 Nov2018
Wales#3 vs Denmark#2
1-2•
09 Sept2018
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
2-0•
19 Nov2008
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
0-1•
09 Jun2099
Wales#3 vs Denmark#2
0-2•
10 Oct2098
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
1-2•
11 Sept2090
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
1-0•
14 Oct2087
Denmark#2 vs Wales#3
1-0•
09 Sept2087
Wales#3 vs Denmark#2
1-0•
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