SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · USL Championship · USA

Tampa Bay vs Miami FC

Sunday, 04 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Tampa Bay1-2Miami FC
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
1-1

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Tampa Bay favourites at 73% (Miami FC 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.26 to 0.70, 5 wins in Tampa Bay's last 10 matches to 3 for Miami FC and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 50%. Miami FC won 2-1, against the model's 73% for Tampa Bay.

Key facts before the match

  • Miami FC have won 3 matches in a row.
  • They last met on 26 Jul 2026, when Tampa Bay won 3-2.
Usa•USL Championship
D33d
W40d
L47d
W54d
D61d
L68d
W75d
D78d
W82d
W89d
5W · 3D · 2L
vs
W29d
W33d
W40d
D47d
D54d
L66d
L75d
L78d
L82d
D89d
3W · 3D · 4L
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 02:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
Tampa Bay1-2Miami FC
1ST HALF
0-1
2ND HALF
1-1
H2H: 9-1-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Tampa Bay at homeMiami fc away
56
4/52/6
1/51/6
0/53/6
2.601.17
0.801.83
4/55/6
4/52/6
2/50/6
1/55/6
1/53/6
4/51/6
1/51/6
2/54/6
1/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Tampa Bay: 2.26
Expected Goals
Miami fc: 0.7
Tampa Bay
73%
Draw
16%
Miami fc
11%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Tampa Bay · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
San Antonio#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
20 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Birmingham#11
4-0W
13 Sept2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
3-1L
06 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Brooklyn#12
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Pittsburgh#5 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Detroit#3 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-0L
16 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Rhode Island#7
2-0W
13 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Louisville City#4
0-0D
09 Aug2026
Orange County sc#9 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-3W
02 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Louisville City#4
5-4W
Team 2 Form
Miami fc · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Miami fc#8 vs Sporting Jax#13
4-1W
27 Sept2026
Indy Eleven#9 vs Miami fc#8
0-2W
20 Sept2026
Rhode Island#7 vs Miami fc#8
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Brooklyn#12 vs Miami fc#8
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Miami fc#8 vs Pittsburgh#5
2-2D
25 Aug2026
Charleston#2 vs Miami fc#8
5-0L
16 Aug2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
13 Aug2026
San Antonio#6 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
09 Aug2026
Miami fc#8 vs Las Vegas Lights#11
0-1L
02 Aug2026
Miami fc#8 vs Detroit#3
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
26 Jul2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-3•
17 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-4•
15 Jun2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-1•
27 Apr2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-3•
23 Mar2025
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-2•
25 Aug2024
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
12 Apr2024
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-5•
27 Aug2023
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2•
09 Apr2023
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
23 Oct2022
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-1•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.