Football · USL Championship · USA
Tampa Bay vs Miami FC
Sunday, 04 October 2026
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Tampa Bay1-2Miami FC
- 1ST HALF
- 0-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
Prediction and result
Before kickoff, the model made Tampa Bay favourites at 73% (Miami FC 11%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.26 to 0.70, 5 wins in Tampa Bay's last 10 matches to 3 for Miami FC and 9 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 50%. Miami FC won 2-1, against the model's 73% for Tampa Bay.
Key facts before the match
- Miami FC have won 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 26 Jul 2026, when Tampa Bay won 3-2.
Usa•USL Championship

Tampa Bay(9)
D33d
W40d
L47d
W54d
D61d
L68d
W75d
D78d
W82d
W89d

Miami fc(0)
W29d
W33d
W40d
D47d
D54d
L66d
L75d
L78d
L82d
D89d
Sunday, 04 October 2026 at 02:30
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.Final score
Tampa Bay1-2Miami FC
- 1ST HALF
- 0-1
- 2ND HALF
- 1-1
H2H: 9-1-0
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Tampa Bay at homeMiami fc away
56
4/52/6
1/51/6
0/53/6
2.601.17
0.801.83
4/55/6
4/52/6
2/50/6
1/55/6
1/53/6
4/51/6
1/51/6
2/54/6
1/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Tampa Bay: 2.26
Expected Goals
Miami fc: 0.7
Tampa Bay
73%
Draw
16%
Miami fc
11%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
Tampa Bay · # = league position now
27 Sept2026
San Antonio#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
20 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Birmingham#11
4-0W
13 Sept2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Tampa Bay#1
3-1L
06 Sept2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Brooklyn#12
2-0W
30 Aug2026
Pittsburgh#5 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-0D
23 Aug2026
Detroit#3 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-0L
16 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Rhode Island#7
2-0W
13 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Louisville City#4
0-0D
09 Aug2026
Orange County sc#9 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-3W
02 Aug2026
Tampa Bay#1 vs Louisville City#4
5-4W
Team 2 Form
Miami fc · # = league position now
01 Oct2026
Miami fc#8 vs Sporting Jax#13
4-1W
27 Sept2026
Indy Eleven#9 vs Miami fc#8
0-2W
20 Sept2026
Rhode Island#7 vs Miami fc#8
1-2W
13 Sept2026
Brooklyn#12 vs Miami fc#8
1-1D
06 Sept2026
Miami fc#8 vs Pittsburgh#5
2-2D
25 Aug2026
Charleston#2 vs Miami fc#8
5-0L
16 Aug2026
Hartford Athletic#6 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
13 Aug2026
San Antonio#6 vs Miami fc#8
2-1L
09 Aug2026
Miami fc#8 vs Las Vegas Lights#11
0-1L
02 Aug2026
Miami fc#8 vs Detroit#3
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
26 Jul2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-3•
17 May2026
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-4•
15 Jun2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-1•
27 Apr2025
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-3•
23 Mar2025
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
1-2•
25 Aug2024
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
12 Apr2024
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
2-5•
27 Aug2023
Miami fc#8 vs Tampa Bay#1
0-2•
09 Apr2023
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
2-0•
23 Oct2022
Tampa Bay#1 vs Miami fc#8
3-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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