Tokyo Sunrockers vs Akita

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Tokyo won 90-63 at home against Akita on October 3 and are 2-1 in the current sample, including 95-79 against Chiba. Akita are 2-2, with another heavy loss, 55-81 at Sendai. Tokyo won the latest four listed H2Hs, but current scores are the main support; the model's 87% is reduced substantially. Main risk: Tokyo also lost 92-97 to Chiba, Akita won their other Sendai game 75-73, and the next-day rematch rests on only three current Tokyo games.