Usti n. Labem vs Brno

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Usti won their latest three games, 115-74 over Plzen, 89-80 at USK Prague and 86-76 over Opava, and are 3-1 in September. Brno lost their latest five and are 1-5 in September. Usti won both 2026 H2Hs, 82-70 at home and 88-84 away. Current form and home venue support the estimate; the model's matching 72% is secondary. Main risk: Usti lost 78-80 to Srsni Pisek on September 20, their current sample is four games, and older H2Hs contain several Brno wins.