Daily picks

Quimsa vs Atenas

Country

Argentina

League

Liga A

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 04:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Quimsa opened the season 94-67 over Platense and won 5 of last 6 H2H incl. 92-73 at Atenas in April; model 79%. Main risk: Quimsa only 5-5 in last 10 (playoff series losses) and Atenas data is from May.

Australia U18 W vs South Korea U18 W

Country

Asia

League

Asia Cup U18 Women

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 06:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Australia 10-0 in last 10, won 99-34 and 102-47 at this tournament and beat South Korea 85-52 and 96-66 in the last two meetings; model 96%. Main risk: Australia lost 62-63 to Korea in 2018; youth roster turnover.

Shi H. vs Zarazua R.

Country

China

Tournament

Suzhou

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 06:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 74%. Shi took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including current wins over Yang and Yuan and a win over Kalieva. She took a set from Zheng, ranked 54, on 1 October. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Zarazua is higher ranked, beat Bondar recently and faced stronger opposition in several defeats, including Sabalenka and Fernandez. Many Shi wins came against lower-ranked or unranked opponents; she lost 0-2 to Cengiz. No H2H is supplied and model quality is low.

Safiullin R. vs Mochizuki S.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 07:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. Safiullin took sets in seven of nine comparable hard-court best-of-three matches, including 2-0 wins over Galarneau and Cobolli and a three-set loss to Rublev. Mochizuki lost four of nine comparable matches without a set. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Mochizuki just beat Daniel 2-1 and has wins over Kotov and Milavsky. Safiullin lost 0-2 to Medvedev and Hurkacz and won only five of nine comparable matches. No H2H is supplied; best-of-five results are excluded from comparable counts.

Draxl L. vs Basilashvili N.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 07:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 77%. Basilashvili took sets in seven of nine supplied comparable hard matches, with wins over Brooksby, Van De Zandschulp and Kecmanovic and a set against Davidovich Fokina. He beat Ilagan yesterday. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Draxl just beat Gaston 2-0 and took sets in eight of ten comparable hard matches. Basilashvili needed three sets yesterday and previously lost setless to Hong and Faria; no H2H is supplied.

Dougaz A. vs Cina F.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 07:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 73%. Dougaz won eight of ten supplied comparable hard matches, including wins over Sonego and Jacquet. Cina lost four of nine without a set, including defeats to Erel, Muller and Basilashvili. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Dougaz lost 0-2 to Komagata, ranked 1667, and many of his wins came against low-ranked opponents. Cina beat Ugo Carabelli and both played three sets yesterday; the model has low quality and no H2H is supplied.

Noskova L. vs Alexandrova E.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 07:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 80%. Noskova took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court matches and won eight, including current 2-0 wins over Golubic and Ruse and September wins over Kostyuk and Li. She took a set in the supplied 2025 hard-court H2H. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Alexandrova won that H2H 2-1 and also took sets in nine of ten comparable matches, just beating Shnaider and Sasnovich. Noskova lost 0-2 to Anisimova. Her April 2026 H2H win was on clay and is secondary; the opponent's consistency limits the market to one set.

Saitoh K. vs Palan D.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 07:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 80%. Saitoh won eight of ten supplied comparable hard matches, including 2-0 over Matsuda and a current win over Takahashi. Palan won only one of nine and lost five without a set, including defeats to Atmane, Leong and Pankin. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Palan won their old 2023 hard H2H 2-0. Saitoh lost setless to Bellucci and Erel, and much of his winning sample came against low-ranked opponents; he also played three sets yesterday.

Krajicek A. / Mektic N. vs Arribage T. / Olivetti A.

Country

Japan

Tournament

Tokyo

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 08:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. Krajicek / Mektic took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court pair matches and won eight, including their latest three. Their 5 October win over Bolelli / Vavassori was 2-0, following wins over Tabilo / Van Assche and Nouza / Venus. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Arribage / Olivetti also took sets in nine of ten and won their latest three, including a win over Hijikata / Uesugi. Krajicek / Mektic lost 0-2 to Nouza / Oberleitner. No H2H is supplied; both pairs are in form and doubles deciding sets add variance.

Te R. vs Simakin I.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 08:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 83%. Simakin won all ten comparable hard-court matches, including current victory over Pavlovic and September wins over Pacheco Mendez, Hewitt and Purcell. He is ranked 154 versus Te's 849. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Te just beat Walton, ranked 98, in three sets and took sets in seven of ten comparable matches. Several Simakin wins needed deciding sets and many opponents were lower ranked. The supplied 2025 H2H ends 0-1 and is excluded; the ten supplied wins are not a complete record of every match in the period.

Zhu E. vs Matsuda K.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 08:50 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 80%. Zhu took sets in all nine comparable completed hard-court matches, including wins over Ayeni and Baris and three-set losses to Bolt, Searle and Zheng. Matsuda lost five of ten comparable matches without a set, including his latest two. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Many Zhu wins came against lower-ranked or unranked opponents, and he won only six of nine comparable matches. Matsuda won four and took a set from Sekulic. Zhu's earlier incomplete Vukic entry is excluded, with later completed results supplied; no H2H is available.

Leong M. W. K. vs Rawat S.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 09:05 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Leong took sets in six of eight supplied comparable hard matches, with wins over Fomin and Trotter. Rawat won three of eight and lost four without a set, including two defeats to Binda. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Leong lost 0-2 to Sharipov and Jasika; Rawat beat Mitsui and took a set from Samrej. Leong’s 2022 hard H2H win is old and only secondary evidence; several wins were over weak opponents.

Seggerman R. vs Shiraishi H.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 09:20 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 77%. Seggerman took sets in seven of nine comparable hard-court matches, including current wins over Zhukov and Tajima, a win over Mayo and sets against Krueger and Shelbayh. Shiraishi won only three of nine comparable matches. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Seggerman lost 0-2 to Vukic and Onclin, and his latest two opponents were lower ranked. Shiraishi took sets in five of nine and is slightly higher ranked, although he lost his latest three supplied matches. No H2H is available.

Changchun Xidu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Changchun Xidu: 8/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Guangzhou Dandelion: 6/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 5/5 and 2/4. All five supplied Changchun home games stayed below four goals, and Guangzhou’s latest three results were 0-1, 1-2 and 0-0. Main risk: Beijing Technology 2-2 Changchun Xidu (15.08.26); Ganzhou Ruishi 1-3 Guangzhou Dandelion (16.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Muchova K. vs Osaka N.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:10 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 79%. Osaka took sets in nine of ten supplied comparable hard matches, including wins over Mertens twice and Fernandez, and a set from Rybakina. She won both supplied 2025 hard H2Hs, one in straight sets. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Muchova won four of five comparable hard matches and beat Osaka on grass in July. Osaka lost 0-2 to Rybakina and needed three sets against Timofeeva; surface differences and Muchova’s current form remain substantial risks.

Samrej K. vs Aguiard E.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 71%. Samrej won seven of ten supplied comparable hard matches, including 2-0 over Aguiard on September 4 and wins over Tomic and Tseng. Aguiard lost five of ten without a set, including recent losses to Atmane and Peliwo. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Samrej lost his latest hard match 0-2 to Shimizu and has no supplied hard result after September 9. He beat Shevchenko in three sets on September 19 but lost 0-2 to Skatov the day before; both Davis Cup surfaces are unspecified. That activity gap and modest opposition sharply limit confidence.

Jacquet K. vs Sakamoto R.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 79%. Jacquet took sets in eight of ten supplied comparable hard matches, beating Darderi, Rune, Marozsan and Etcheverry in straight sets. He beat Zhang yesterday after a strong recent sequence against tour-level opposition. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Sakamoto took sets in seven of eight and beat Muller and Rodionov. Jacquet lost 0-2 to Munar and Rublev; his busy recent schedule and Sakamoto’s competitive record limit an outright-win selection.

Shanghai Second vs Wenzhou Professional

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Shanghai Second: 7/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Wenzhou Professional: 9/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/4 and 4/4. All four supplied Shanghai home games and all four Wenzhou away games stayed below four goals. Wenzhou’s current sample had only one match above two goals. Main risk: Taian Tiankuang 2-2 Shanghai Second (22.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Beijing Technology vs Chengdu Rongcheng B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Beijing Technology: 7/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Chengdu Rongcheng B: 7/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 5/5. All five supplied Chengdu away games had at most two goals. Their latest four results also stayed below three, while four of Beijing’s five home games stayed below four. Main risk: Dalian Yingbo B 3-4 Beijing Technology (22.08.26); Chengdu Rongcheng B 3-2 Hubei Istar (08.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Qingdao Red Lions vs Wuhan Three Towns B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Qingdao Red Lions: 8/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Wuhan Three Towns B: 7/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 3/4. Qingdao’s latest six supplied results all had at most three goals. Wuhan’s latest two were 0-2 and 0-0, while their high-score exceptions are explicitly retained as risks. Main risk: Qingdao Red Lions 6-1 Beijing Technology (27.07.26); Wuhan Three Towns B 4-0 Ganzhou Ruishi (23.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Wong C. vs Harris L.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 10:40 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 80%. Harris won eight of nine supplied comparable hard matches, including straight-set wins over Vacherot, Kovacevic and Bolt, plus a three-set win over Bellucci. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Wong took sets in eight of nine, beat Hewitt yesterday and took a set from Medvedev. Harris lost 0-2 to Hurkacz and has five completed matches in six days plus an incomplete October 3 entry; no H2H is supplied.

Bellucci M. vs Muller A.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 79%. Bellucci took sets in seven of eight comparable completed hard-court matches, including a 2-0 win over Muller on 30 September and current victory over Ymer. He won both supplied hard-court H2Hs against Muller. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Muller just beat Noguchi 2-1 and won six of ten comparable matches. Bellucci lost to Harris in three sets on 4 October and 0-2 to Majchrzak; his recent workload is heavy. The older scoreless Tomic entry is excluded, with three completed results supplied afterward.

Arends S. / Pel D. vs Cash J. / Glasspool L.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. Cash / Glasspool took sets in nine of ten comparable hard-court pair matches and won their latest three 2-0, against Cash / Erler, Melo / Zverev and Khachanov / Rublev. They also beat Krajicek / Mektic in August. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Arends / Pel also won their latest three in straight sets and won six of nine comparable matches. Cash / Glasspool lost 0-2 to Krawietz / Puetz. No H2H is supplied, and both pairs' strong current form plus doubles deciding-set variance limit a full-win call.

Hara Friend J. D. vs Kikuchi Y.

Country

China

Tournament

Wuning 3

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Hara Friend took sets in seven of ten supplied comparable hard matches, with wins over Kasnikowski, Erel and Pucinelli de Almeida. Kikuchi’s wins included Matsuda (692), Ogura (826) and Huang (788), all ranked below Hara Friend (260); he lost setless to Tomic and Chung. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Hara Friend has no supplied result after September 13 and lost 0-2 to Harris, Montes-De La Torre and Johnson. Kikuchi won his latest two; the inactivity gap prevents a stronger estimate.

Pieri S. vs Krumich M.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 11:10 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 79%. Pieri took sets in eight of ten comparable clay matches and won his latest five, including wins over Sachko, Taberner and Martin Manzano. Krumich lost five of nine comparable completed matches without a set. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed clay best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Krumich is higher ranked and won their July 2026 H2H 2-1. Pieri lost 0-2 to Barrena and Martin Manzano earlier in September. Krumich's incomplete Lopez Morillo entry is excluded, with two later completed results supplied; the recent Pieri workload adds uncertainty.

Hubei Istar vs Lanzhou Longyuan

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Lanzhou unbeaten in 9 of last 10 (4W 5D) and won 3 of 4 H2H; Hubei 2-4-4 with 1.1 goals scored per game; model 73% high quality. Main risk: Lanzhou draw-heavy away with low scoring, so a single Hubei goal can decide it.

Hubei Istar vs Lanzhou Longyuan

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Hubei Istar: 8/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Lanzhou Longyuan: 6/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 5/5 and 3/5. All five supplied Hubei home games had at most three goals. Lanzhou’s latest two games finished 2-0 and 2-1, while their higher totals include a 1-3 loss at Beijing Guoan. Main risk: Chengdu Rongcheng B 3-2 Hubei Istar (08.08.26); Beijing Guoan 3-1 Lanzhou Longyuan (01.09.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Kostovic T. vs Noha Akugue N.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Kostovic took sets in eight of nine comparable completed hard-court matches, including wins over Galfi, Iatcenko and Semenistaja. She took a set from Ruzic in her latest result on 2 October. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Noha Akugue just beat Micic and Yoruk 2-0 and took sets in seven of eight comparable matches. Kostovic lost 0-2 to Quevedo and has an earlier incomplete Cengiz entry excluded from the counts. Noha Akugue is slightly higher ranked and no H2H is supplied.

Ruzic A. vs Dudeney A.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 74%. Ruzic won three of her latest four completed hard-court matches, beating Kostovic, Riera and Valdmannova before taking a set from Jeanjean. Her four setless losses in the comparable sample came against Li, Bartunkova, Frech and Keys, all ranked 48 or better. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Ruzic took sets in only five of nine comparable matches. Dudeney won four of six, including a current win over Klimovicova, although she just lost 0-2 to Swan. Incomplete older Dudeney entries are excluded; no H2H is supplied and model quality is low.

Perez E. / Schuurs D. vs Bucsa C. / Melichar-Martinez N.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. Bucsa / Melichar-Martinez won eight of ten supplied comparable hard pair matches, including current victory over Alexandrova / Stollar and straight-set wins over Kozyreva / Lumsden and Dolehide / Khromacheva. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Perez / Schuurs just won 2-0 and took sets in six of nine comparable pair matches. Bucsa / Melichar-Martinez lost setless to Siniakova / Townsend and Eikeri / Gleason; no H2H is supplied and doubles variance remains material.

Basile P. vs Giunta M.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 12:50 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 74%. Giunta took sets in seven of ten comparable clay matches, including wins over Gentzsch, Agamenone and Arnaboldi. Those wins provide stronger opposition context than much of Basile's recent winning sample. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed clay best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Basile took sets in eight of ten and won six, including wins over Wiskandt and Ovcharenko. Giunta won only five of ten and lost 0-2 to Taberner, Seyboth Wild and Romano. Both latest results were setless losses and no H2H is supplied; the edge is limited to the set market.

Eikeri U. / Gleason Q. vs Dabrowski G. / Stefani L.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 13:15 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 82%. Dabrowski / Stefani took sets in all nine supplied comparable hard pair matches, winning eight, including 2-0 over Tang / Xu and Jiang / Zhang. Eikeri / Gleason lost four of eleven comparable pair matches without a set. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Eikeri / Gleason just won 2-0 and previously beat Bucsa / Melichar-Martinez and Perez / Schuurs. Both H2H wins for Dabrowski / Stefani were on clay; several current wins needed deciding sets, so they provide secondary support only.

Kraus S. vs Bartunkova N.

Country

China

Tournament

Beijing

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 13:20 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 82%. Bartunkova took sets in eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including her latest two 2-0 over Sabalenka and Frech. She also beat Ruzic, Sherif and Vidmanova. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Kraus just beat Yastremska 2-0 and Joint 2-1. Bartunkova lost 0-2 to Andreeva and Cirstea; her 2025 H2H win was on clay and is secondary. Kraus's earlier incomplete Potapova entry is excluded, with a later completed win supplied.

Kotov P. vs Vukic A.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 13:20 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Vukic took sets in seven of eight supplied comparable hard matches, including a win over Jacquet and competitive losses to Jacquet, Lajal and Altmaier. He beat Cui yesterday. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Kotov won seven of ten and beat Damm yesterday; Vukic needed three sets against Cui and lost 0-2 to Sakellaridis. The supplied 2019 H2H was on clay and is too old to drive the decision.

Balshaw F. vs Schwaerzler J. J.

Country

Spain

Tournament

Villena

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 13:35 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 77%. Balshaw took sets in eight of ten comparable hard-court matches and won seven, including wins over Budkov Kjaer, Montes-De La Torre, Lajal and Muller. He took a set from Bernet in his latest result. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Schwaerzler is slightly higher ranked and won three matches in straight sets before losing to Gueymard Wayenburg. Balshaw lost 0-2 to Budkov Kjaer and Kovacevic; several wins needed deciding sets. No H2H is supplied and Schwaerzler's recent form is meaningful.

Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Changchun unbeaten in last 5 home games (4W 1D, incl. 6-0); Yanbian lost 4 of last 5 away; model 73% high. Main risk: Yanbian sit 3 places higher in the table and drew 2-2 in May's meeting.

Chinese T. U18 W vs Malaysia U18 W

Country

Asia

League

Asia Cup U18 Women

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 92%. Chinese Taipei beat Malaysia 90-34 in their last meeting; Malaysia lost 136-29 to Japan and 116-30 to China this week; model 91%. Main risk: Chinese Taipei lost both games so far this tournament.

Bitlis 1916 vs Silifke

Country

Turkey

League

Turkish Cup

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Bitlis 1916: 5/5 supplied recent games matching this market; Silifke: 5/5 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 3/3 and 2/2. Both sides have five supplied current results, all above this line. Bitlis won the September6 H2H 2-0; both sides’ recent meetings with Nigde and Kirsehir also had at least three goals. Main risk: No recent miss is supplied; small samples and several narrow clears remain limitations; possible cup rotation and different opponents.

Changchun Yatai vs Yanbian Longding

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Changchun Yatai: 9/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Yanbian Longding: 8/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 4/5. Yanbian’s latest six supplied games all cleared this line; Changchun’s five home games did so four times. The May H2H was 2-2. Main risk: Changchun Yatai 1-0 Dingnan Ganlian (12.09.26); Yanbian Longding 0-1 Shenzhen Juniors (09.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. 4th v 10th; Nantong 1.9 scored / 1.0 conceded over last 10 with home wins 2-0, 4-1, 5-1; Ningbo 2-2-6 scoring 0.8 per game; model 70% win, 89% double chance (high). Main risk: Nantong lost 0-1 at home to Guangxi recently.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Dalian K'un City

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Shijiazhuang unbeaten in 10 (6W 4D) conceding 0.7 per game; Dalian 3-4-3 and conceding 1.4; model 80% double chance (high). Main risk: no Shijiazhuang win in the last 3 H2H (2D 1L).

Hangzhou Linping vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Over 2.5 landed in only 3/10 Hangzhou and 2/10 Shanxi games; Shanxi concede 0.4 per game; model over 28% (high). Main risk: a 4-1 H2H in 2024 shows these sides can open up.

Guizhou Guiyang vs Shanghai Port B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. League leaders Shanghai Port B (39:19) at 3rd-placed Guizhou, who lost 2 of last 3 and failed to score in 4 of last 6; model 74% double chance (high). Main risk: Guizhou strong at home earlier (3-0, 1-0 wins) and Port B lost 3 of last 6.

Dingnan Ganlian vs Meizhou Hakka

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. BTTS in 8/10 Dingnan and 7/10 Meizhou games; both concede 2+ per game; all of last 6 H2H had both teams scoring; model BTTS 74% (high). Main risk: Meizhou failed to score in 2 of last 5 away games.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Ningbo Professional

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Nantong Zhiyun: 6/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Ningbo Professional: 8/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 3/5 and 5/5. All five supplied Ningbo away games had at most two goals, including their latest two 1-0 defeats. Nantong’s latest two home results were 2-0 and 0-1. Main risk: Wuxi Wugou 1-3 Nantong Zhiyun (13.09.26); Ningbo Professional 2-3 Yanbian Longding (22.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Shijiazhuang Gongfu vs Dalian K'un City

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Shijiazhuang Gongfu: 8/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Dalian K'un City: 7/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 5/5 and 4/5. All five supplied Shijiazhuang home games had at most three goals. Dalian’s latest four results also stayed below four, and the May H2H was 0-0. Main risk: Meizhou Hakka 1-3 Shijiazhuang Gongfu (19.09.26); Dalian K'un City 3-2 Nantong Zhiyun (30.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Hangzhou Linping vs Shanxi Chongde Ronghai

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 88%. Hangzhou Linping: 9/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Shanxi Chongde Ronghai: 10/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 5/5. Shanxi’s ten supplied current results all stayed below four goals, including all five away games. Hangzhou’s latest four had at most two goals; the latest two H2Hs had totals of two and zero. Main risk: Hangzhou Linping 4-3 Guizhou Guiyang (11.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Guizhou Guiyang vs Shanghai Port B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Guizhou Guiyang: 8/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Shanghai Port B: 7/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/4 and 4/4. All four supplied Guizhou home games and all four Shanghai Port B away games stayed below four goals. Guizhou’s latest four results had at most one goal each. Main risk: Hangzhou Linping 4-3 Guizhou Guiyang (11.08.26); Shanghai Port B 1-3 Shandong Taishan B (08.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Guangdong Mingtu vs Dalian Yingbo B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Guangdong Mingtu: 7/9 supplied recent games matching this market; Dalian Yingbo B: 6/9 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 3/5 and 5/5. All five supplied Dalian Yingbo B away games had at most two goals. Guangdong’s latest three results were 0-0, 1-0 and 0-1; neither side shows sustained recent scoring. Main risk: Guangdong Mingtu 3-0 Wuhan Three Towns B (16.08.26); Dalian Yingbo B 3-4 Beijing Technology (22.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Dingnan Ganlian vs Meizhou Hakka

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Dingnan Ganlian: 8/10 supplied recent games matching this market; Meizhou Hakka: 7/10 supplied recent games matching this market. Relevant home/away samples: 4/5 and 3/5. Dingnan scored and conceded in eight of ten supplied games, including four of five at home. All five listed H2Hs had goals from both sides, including May’s 2-2 draw; older H2Hs remain secondary. Main risk: Changchun Yatai 1-0 Dingnan Ganlian (12.09.26); Guangxi Hengchen 1-0 Meizhou Hakka (15.08.26); different opponents and unconfirmed lineups.

Caniato C. A. vs Wiskandt M.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 15:25 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 77%. Caniato won eight of nine comparable completed clay matches, including wins over Gentzsch, Moro Canas, Barrena and Brunold. Wiskandt won only two of four comparable completed matches. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed clay best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Caniato's latest result was 0-2 against Mikrut, and Wiskandt took a set from Basile on 29 September. The four-match opponent sample is small. Earlier incomplete Clarke and Senn entries are excluded, with later completed matches supplied; no H2H is available.

Stefanini L. vs Monnet C.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Samsun

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 15:45 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 75%. Stefanini took sets in seven of ten supplied comparable hard matches, beating Yastremska and Brengle and taking a set from Jeanjean. She beat Buyukakcay in three sets, while Monnet lost to the same opponent in three. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Monnet beat Crawley 2-0 and won their older clay H2H 2-0. Stefanini had setless defeats to Podoroska, Paolini and Bouzkova; the clay H2H and one common opponent do not establish the result alone.

Seyboth Wild T. vs Soto M.

Country

Chile

Tournament

Antofagasta

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 16:05 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 79%. Seyboth Wild won eight of nine supplied comparable clay matches, including consecutive wins over Martinez, Dodig and Varillas. Soto lost five of ten comparable clay matches without a set, most recently to Midon. Comparable samples use completed clay results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Seyboth Wild has no supplied result after September 13 and lost 0-2 to Kumstat. Soto beat Moeller and took a set from Sachko; the activity gap and absence of H2H limit the estimate.

Ivanovski K. vs Moro Canas A.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Palermo

Match time

Tue, Oct 06, 16:05 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 74%. Moro Canas won seven of nine supplied comparable clay matches, including wins over Clarke, Roca Batalla and Lagutin. His stronger opposition and 233-versus-744 ranking support taking a set against Ivanovski. Comparable samples use completed clay results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Moro Canas most recently lost 0-2 to Ritschard and also lost setless to Caniato. Ivanovski took sets in all four current clay matches, winning three including Arnaboldi; that small but improving opponent sample limits confidence.

Kolar Z. vs Sakellaridis D.