Turk Telekom vs Maxima Roma

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Turk Telekom won seven of nine supplied September-October games and all three listed home games, over Karsiyaka, Maroussi and Petkim Spor. It also won at Bursaspor, Bosna, Dubai and Lokomotiv Kuban. Maxima Roma lost four of five current games, including all three listed away games, and most recently lost 89-98 at Virtus Bologna. Main risk: Roma's away losses came against Virtus twice and Hapoel Tel Aviv, the latter by only two points; it beat Cluj-Napoca 89-55. Two Turk home wins were by only one and three points, and no H2H is supplied. The small Roma sample and opposition strength keep the estimate cautious; the model gives Turk 66%.