Leong M. W. K. vs Rawat S.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Leong took sets in six of eight supplied comparable hard matches, with wins over Fomin and Trotter. Rawat won three of eight and lost four without a set, including two defeats to Binda. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Leong lost 0-2 to Sharipov and Jasika; Rawat beat Mitsui and took a set from Samrej. Leong’s 2022 hard H2H win is old and only secondary evidence; several wins were over weak opponents.