Blanch D. vs Alcala Gurri M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Alcala Gurri took sets in all eight comparable completed clay matches and won seven, including recent 2-0 wins over Forejtek, Taberner and Sanchez Jover. He also beat Campana Lee and Olivieri. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed clay best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Blanch beat him 2-0 in their June 2026 H2H and took sets in seven of ten comparable matches. Alcala Gurri's latest result is from 27 September. The incomplete Martin Tiffon entry is excluded, with two later completed wins; the adverse H2H prevents a stronger claim.