Ruzic A. vs Dudeney A.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Ruzic won three of her latest four completed hard-court matches, beating Kostovic, Riera and Valdmannova before taking a set from Jeanjean. Her four setless losses in the comparable sample came against Li, Bartunkova, Frech and Keys, all ranked 48 or better. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Ruzic took sets in only five of nine comparable matches. Dudeney won four of six, including a current win over Klimovicova, although she just lost 0-2 to Swan. Incomplete older Dudeney entries are excluded; no H2H is supplied and model quality is low.