Pereira T. vs Martin Tiffon P.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Martin Tiffon took sets in all six supplied comparable clay matches, including a win over Ficovich and a three-set loss to Diaz Acosta. Pereira lost without a set to Olivieri and Heide. Comparable samples use completed clay results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Pereira took sets in eight of ten comparable clay matches and beat Trungelliti. Martin Tiffon won only three of six and most recently lost to Lokoli; the small sample and absence of H2H limit a full-win estimate.