Croatia vs Spain

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Spain favourites at 77% (Croatia 9%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.52 to 0.72, 10 wins in Spain's last 10 matches to 4 for Croatia and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 49%. Spain won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Spain have won 10 matches in a row.
• They last met on 29 Sept 2026, when Spain won 4-1.