SMO◦ANCE
Match Intelligence
PicksSign in

Football · UEFA Nations League · Europe

England vs Croatia

Thursday, 12 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes England favourites at 69% (Croatia 16%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.65 to 1.24, 8 wins in England's last 10 matches to 4 for Croatia and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It puts over 2.5 goals at 75% and both teams scoring at 62%.

Key facts

  • Over 2.5 goals came in 8 of England's last 10 matches and 8 of Croatia's.
  • England scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • England are 2nd in UEFA Nations League on 9 points from 4 games; Croatia are 3rd on 3.
  • England have won 3 matches in a row.
  • Croatia have lost 3 matches in a row.
Europe•UEFA Nations League
Rank 2 · 9 pts
W20d
W23d
W27d
L30d
W99d
L103d
W106d
W112d
W117d
W120d
8W · 0D · 2L
vs
Rank 3 · 3 pts
L20d
L23d
L27d
W30d
L115d
W120d
W124d
L131d
W141d
L146d
4W · 0D · 6L
Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 22:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 6-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
30/1312/24
3.001.20
1.302.40
10/108/10
9/104/10
6/109/10
4/106/10
4/101/10
0/102/10
10/109/10
8/108/10
6/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
England at homeCroatia away
45
2/42/5
0/40/5
2/43/5
2.001.40
1.502.20
4/45/5
3/42/5
1/40/5
3/44/5
2/43/5
1/41/5
0/40/5
4/44/5
3/44/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
England: 2.65
Expected Goals
Croatia: 1.24
England
69%
Draw
15%
Croatia
16%
Over 2.5: 75%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Bookmaker odds not available for this match.
Team 1 Form
England · # = league position now
06 Oct2026
England#2 vs Czech Republic#4
3-0W
03 Oct2026
Croatia#3 vs England#2
0-7W
29 Sept2026
Czech Republic#4 vs England#2
0-2W
26 Sept2026
England#2 vs Spain#1
2-3L
19 Jul2026
France#1 vs England#2
4-6W
15 Jul2026
England#2 vs Argentina#1
1-2L
12 Jul2026
Norway#4 vs England#2
1-2W
06 Jul2026
Mexico#1 vs England#2
2-3W
01 Jul2026
England#2 vs D.r. Congo#3
2-1W
28 Jun2026
Panama#4 vs England#2
0-2W
Team 2 Form
Croatia · # = league position now
06 Oct2026
Croatia#3 vs Spain#1
1-2L
03 Oct2026
Croatia#3 vs England#2
0-7L
29 Sept2026
Spain#1 vs Croatia#3
4-1L
26 Sept2026
Czech Republic#4 vs Croatia#3
1-2W
03 Jul2026
Portugal#1 vs Croatia#3
2-1L
28 Jun2026
Croatia#3 vs Ghana#3
2-1W
24 Jun2026
Panama#4 vs Croatia#3
0-1W
17 Jun2026
England#2 vs Croatia#3
4-2L
07 Jun2026
Croatia#3 vs Slovenia#3
2-1W
02 Jun2026
Croatia#3 vs Belgium#3
0-2L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 Oct2026
Croatia#3 vs England#2
0-7•
17 Jun2026
England#2 vs Croatia#3
4-2•
13 Jun2021
England#2 vs Croatia#3
1-0•
18 Nov2018
England#2 vs Croatia#3
2-1•
12 Oct2018
Croatia#3 vs England#2
0-0•
11 Jul2018
Croatia#3 vs England#2
2-1•
09 Sept2009
England#2 vs Croatia#3
5-1•
10 Sept2008
Croatia#3 vs England#2
1-4•
21 Nov2007
England#2 vs Croatia#3
2-3•
11 Oct2006
Croatia#3 vs England#2
2-0•

Prediction alerts

Know when the next pick goes live.

Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.

Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.