Seyboth Wild T. vs Soto M.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Seyboth Wild won eight of nine supplied comparable clay matches, including consecutive wins over Martinez, Dodig and Varillas. Soto lost five of ten comparable clay matches without a set, most recently to Midon. Comparable samples use completed clay results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Seyboth Wild has no supplied result after September 13 and lost 0-2 to Kumstat. Soto beat Moeller and took a set from Sachko; the activity gap and absence of H2H limit the estimate.