Jacquet K. vs Sakamoto R.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Jacquet took sets in eight of ten supplied comparable hard matches, beating Darderi, Rune, Marozsan and Etcheverry in straight sets. He beat Zhang yesterday after a strong recent sequence against tour-level opposition. Comparable samples use completed hard results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Sakamoto took sets in seven of eight and beat Muller and Rodionov. Jacquet lost 0-2 to Munar and Rublev; his busy recent schedule and Sakamoto’s competitive record limit an outright-win selection.