Kostovic T. vs Noha Akugue N.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Kostovic took sets in eight of nine comparable completed hard-court matches, including wins over Galfi, Iatcenko and Semenistaja. She took a set from Ruzic in her latest result on 2 October. Counts describe supplied recent-form rows, not an exhaustive period record: completed hard best-of-three results from 23 July to 6 October, excluding incomplete scores and nonstandard formats. Main risk: Noha Akugue just beat Micic and Yoruk 2-0 and took sets in seven of eight comparable matches. Kostovic lost 0-2 to Quevedo and has an earlier incomplete Cengiz entry excluded from the counts. Noha Akugue is slightly higher ranked and no H2H is supplied.