Cecchinato M. vs Wallin O.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 75%. Cecchinato took sets in eight of ten supplied comparable clay matches, including wins over Squire and Moeller and a competitive loss to Djere. His opposition has generally been stronger than Wallin’s lower-level winning sample. Comparable samples use completed clay results from July 23 onward; model output is secondary. Main risk: Wallin also took sets in eight of ten and won his latest two against Cacao and Rodenas. Cecchinato lost 0-2 to Trungelliti and has no supplied match after September 18; no H2H is available.