Recordedmatch positions.

Scranton/WB vs Lehigh Valley IronPigs

Country

Usa

League

IL - Second stage

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 01:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Scranton/WB have won the first three games of this home series 4-3, 9-2 and 16-0 and carry a 7.1 expected-run offence, while Lehigh Valley are 3-7 in their last 10; model 73% (high quality). Main risk: Lehigh Valley won the previous series meetings including 13-1, and a fourth straight win over the same club is never routine.

Forge vs Inter Toronto

Country

Canada

League

Canadian Premier League

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 02:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Second-placed Forge have won the last four head-to-heads with Inter Toronto (13-3 on aggregate), who have one win in their last 10 and concede 2.9 per game; model 84% (high quality), market 1.36. Main risk: Forge have only 4 wins in their own last 10 with recent stumbles against Supra du Quebec.

Osaka N. vs Mertens E.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 02:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 68%. Osaka has won the last two head-to-heads with Mertens including 2-0 on hard in Cincinnati last month, and is 6-3 on hard courts; market 1.32 (76% implied). Main risk: prediction quality is medium, the career head-to-head is split, and Mertens has dropped one set in four matches this tournament.

Tampa Bay vs Brooklyn

Country

Usa

League

USL Championship

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. League leaders Tampa Bay face 12th-placed Brooklyn, whom they beat 2-0 in June, with Brooklyn conceding 2.0 per away game and only 4 wins all season; model 73% (high quality). Main risk: Tampa Bay have drawn or lost 5 of their last 10 including two recent scoreless outings.

Inter Miami vs Atlanta Utd

Country

Usa

League

MLS

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 02:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Inter Miami have 9 of their last 10 over 2.5 including a 7-1 last time out, Atlanta concede 2.43 per away game with zero clean sheets in 10, and all six recent head-to-heads cleared the line; model over probability 82% (high quality) with 4.0 expected goals. Main risk: Atlanta have failed to score in 3 of 10 and a one-sided low-total 2-0 is possible.

Nashville Sounds vs Louisville Bats

Country

Usa

League

IL - Second stage

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 02:35 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 66%. Nashville have won the first three games of this home series with Louisville (7-6, 3-2, 3-2), are 7-3 in their last 10, and project 6.6 expected runs against 3.9, while Louisville are 1-9; model 67% (high quality). Main risk: all three series wins were one-run games and Louisville took two head-to-heads earlier in the season.

Zverev A. vs Tabilo A.

Country

USA

Tournament

Us Open

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 03:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 78%. World No. 2 Zverev leads the head-to-head 2-0 including a straight-sets US Open win over Tabilo a year ago, and is 7-3 on hard with a +6 set differential; model 82% (high quality), market 1.13. Main risk: Zverev has gone five sets in both rounds this week while Tabilo has won 3-1 twice, so fatigue is the live threat.

Portland Timbers vs Minnesota United

Country

Usa

League

MLS

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 05:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Both teams scored in all 10 of Portland's last matches (zero clean sheets either way) and 8 of Minnesota's, with both scoring in four of the last five head-to-heads; model BTTS 76% (high quality). Main risk: Minnesota shut Portland out 2-0 in April and keep a stronger away defence at 1.0 conceded.

Samrej K. vs Simakin I.

Country

China

Tournament

Zhangjiagang

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 07:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Simakin I. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 66% outright forecast converts to a conservative 85% win-a-set estimate, the current 72% no-vig outright market implies about 88% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Papa C. vs Ryan Ziegann S.

Country

Vietnam

Tournament

Phan Thiet 3

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 07:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 80%. Ryan Ziegann S. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 52% outright forecast converts to a conservative 76% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Chopra K. vs Kirkin E.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Istanbul 3

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 10:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 76%. Chopra K. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 51% outright forecast converts to a conservative 76% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Brunold M. vs Wehnelt K.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 80%. Wehnelt K. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 53% outright forecast converts to a conservative 77% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Chepelev A. vs Gschwendtner J.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Genova

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 84%. Chepelev A. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 75% outright forecast converts to a conservative 89% win-a-set estimate, the current 80% no-vig outright market implies about 92% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Covato M. vs Raquillet L.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 89%. Raquillet L. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 82% outright forecast converts to a conservative 93% win-a-set estimate, the current 85% no-vig outright market implies about 94% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Janvier M. vs Fancutt T. J.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 73%. Fancutt T. J. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 51% outright forecast converts to a conservative 76% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Oz I. vs Jakupovic D.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Antalya 4

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 69%. Oz I. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 40% outright forecast converts to a conservative 68% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Sels J. vs Donald M.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 75%. Sels J. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 47% outright forecast converts to a conservative 73% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Ujvary M. vs Wallin O.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 84%. Wallin O. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 64% outright forecast converts to a conservative 84% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Zolotareva R. vs Laboutkova A.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Antalya 4

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 82%. Zolotareva R. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 68% outright forecast converts to a conservative 86% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Chepelev A. vs Gschwendtner J.

Country

Italy

Tournament

Genova

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 70%. Chepelev is ranked about 600 places above Gschwendtner (383 vs 987) and has won 6 of his last 10 on clay, mostly in straight sets; market prices him at 1.15. Main risk: he lost his most recent match and model confidence is only medium at this ITF level.

Leong M. W. K. vs Yuzuki T.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Leong M. W. K. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 67% outright forecast converts to a conservative 85% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Nakamura R. vs Liu H.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 81%. Liu H. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 81% outright forecast converts to a conservative 92% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/9 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Tokac T. vs Duran T.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Istanbul 3

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 79%. Duran T. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 58% outright forecast converts to a conservative 80% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Trotter J. K. vs Uesugi K.

Country

China

Tournament

Shanghai

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 11:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 86%. Trotter J. K. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 81% outright forecast converts to a conservative 92% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Kravchenko G. vs Milev Y.

Country

Bulgaria

Tournament

Plovdiv 3

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 69%. Milev Y. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 37% outright forecast converts to a conservative 65% win-a-set estimate, the current 35% no-vig outright market implies about 64% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: the match model gives only 37% outright win probability.

Niemeier J. vs Ciric Bagaric L.

Country

Switzerland

Tournament

Montreux

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 77%. Ciric Bagaric L. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 47% outright forecast converts to a conservative 73% win-a-set estimate, the current 46% no-vig outright market implies about 72% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 2/2. Main risk: 2/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

De Stefano S. vs Nagy A.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Antalya 4

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 92%. De Stefano S. won a set in 10/10 (100%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 69% outright forecast converts to a conservative 86% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: the H2H sample is only 1 match.

Gombos N. vs Wagner A.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 79%. Gombos N. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 70% outright forecast converts to a conservative 87% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Paldanius O. vs Tepmahc N.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 85%. Paldanius O. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 66% outright forecast converts to a conservative 85% win-a-set estimate, the current 68% no-vig outright market implies about 86% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Prihodko O. vs Gakhov I.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 83%. Prihodko O. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 62% outright forecast converts to a conservative 82% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Paldanius O. vs Tepmahc N.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 67%. Paldanius has won 7 of his last 10 while Tepmahc has lost 6 of his last 9; model 66% (high quality) and the 1.35 market price points the same way. Main risk: Tepmahc holds the better ranking (621 vs 824) and ITF hard-court results are volatile.

Mena F. vs Dellien H.

Country

Portugal

Tournament

Porto 2

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 12:55 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 86%. Dellien H. won a set in 8/10 (80%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 70% outright forecast converts to a conservative 87% win-a-set estimate, the current 74% no-vig outright market implies about 89% to win a set, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: 2/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Anyang vs Gangwon

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Anyang scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.49 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 5/5. Main risk: Anyang failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Kiwoom Heroes vs NC Dinos

Country

South Korea

League

KBO

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. NC Dinos have won 7 of their last 10 and took the first two games of this series in Seoul 2-1 and 6-1, while Kiwoom are 1-8-1 in their last 10; model 73% (high quality). Main risk: single-game baseball variance and a likely weaker starter after two straight series wins.

Groningen vs Twente

Country

Netherlands

League

Eredivisie

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Twente scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.39 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/4. Main risk: Twente failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Pieri T. vs Spiteri D.

Country

Switzerland

Tournament

Montreux

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 74%. Spiteri D. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 47% outright forecast converts to a conservative 73% win-a-set estimate, the current 46% no-vig outright market implies about 72% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Purtseladze S. vs Almazan Valiente I.

Country

Spain

Tournament

Seville

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 73%. Purtseladze S. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 52% outright forecast converts to a conservative 76% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 2/9 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Ritschard A. vs Perez Contri S.

Country

Spain

Tournament

Seville

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 13:30 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 84%. Ritschard A. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 64% outright forecast converts to a conservative 84% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and dated H2H shows a set in 2/2. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Orenburg vs Akron Togliatti

Country

Russia

League

Premier League

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Orenburg scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.74 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 2/3. Main risk: Orenburg failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 2/3.

Deckers A. vs Tailleu P. A.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 90%. Deckers A. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 86% outright forecast converts to a conservative 94% win-a-set estimate, the current 85% no-vig outright market implies about 94% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Gulin S. vs Molleker R.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 82%. Gulin S. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 49% outright forecast converts to a conservative 74% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and dated H2H shows a set in 1/1. Main risk: 1/10 recent clay matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Scaglia M. vs Vales A.

Country

France

Tournament

Cassis

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 88%. Vales A. won a set in 10/10 (100%) recent completed hard matches; the high-quality match model's 65% outright forecast converts to a conservative 84% win-a-set estimate, the current 68% no-vig outright market implies about 86% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: there is no usable dated H2H.

Wiedenmann L. vs Bernet H.

Country

Austria

Tournament

Tulln

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Surface

Clay

Estimated probability: 84%. Bernet H. won a set in 9/9 (100%) recent completed clay matches; the medium-quality match model's 63% outright forecast converts to a conservative 83% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: there is no usable dated H2H.

Stockholm vs Rattvik

Country

Sweden

League

Elitserien - Play Offs

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Rattvik are 9-1 in their last 10 and have won all eight recent head-to-heads with Stockholm, including 14-4 in this playoff series opener; model 76% (high quality). Main risk: Stockholm's bats stay live (11- and 13-run games recently), so a slugfest can swing on one inning.

SaBaT Prague vs Trebic

Country

Czech Republic

League

Extraliga - Relegation

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Trebic won the first two relegation-series games against SaBaT Prague 13-2 and 10-0 and are 6-4 in their last 10, while SaBaT have lost 8 of 10; model 73% (high quality). Main risk: SaBaT took two of the older head-to-heads and amateur-league lineups vary day to day.

Guangxi Hengchen vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Guangxi Hengchen scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.02 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Guangxi Hengchen failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Hertha Berlin vs Magdeburg

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Magdeburg scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 7/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.94 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 4/4. Main risk: Magdeburg failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 3/10 clean sheets.

Paide vs Levadia

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Over 2.5 landed in 5/10 recent Paide matches and 9/10 recent Levadia matches; the high-quality model rates it 76% with a 70% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 8/8. Main risk: 6/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Turker M. N. vs Zakaria F.

Country

Turkey

Tournament

Istanbul 3

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Surface

Hard

Estimated probability: 77%. Zakaria F. won a set in 9/10 (90%) recent completed hard matches; the medium-quality match model's 52% outright forecast converts to a conservative 76% win-a-set estimate, no verified current price exists for the exact set market, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: 1/10 recent hard matches ended in a straight-set loss.

Paide vs Levadia

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. League leaders Levadia are 8W-1D-1L in their last 10 and beat Paide 4-1 only ten days ago; model 75% (high quality). Main risk: Paide have won two of the last five home meetings with Levadia.

Henan Songshan Longmen vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Country

China

League

Super League

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:35 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 87%. Chengdu Rongcheng scored in 9/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 9/10, and the high-quality model projects 1.98 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 3/5. Main risk: Chengdu Rongcheng failed to score in 1/10; the opponent kept 1/10 clean sheets; dated H2H is only 3/5.

Yunnan Yukun vs Liaoning Tieren

Country

China

League

Super League

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 14:35 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Over 2.5 landed in 8/10 recent Yunnan Yukun matches and 6/10 recent Liaoning Tieren matches; the high-quality model rates it 75% with a 70% empirical component, and dated H2H hit in 2/2. Main risk: 6/20 combined recent team-match observations missed over 2.5.

Orgryte vs Hammarby

Country

Sweden

League

Allsvenskan

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Hammarby scored in 8/10 recent completed matches, the opponent conceded in 8/10, and the high-quality model projects 2.32 goals; dated H2H has the team scoring in 1/1. Main risk: Hammarby failed to score in 2/10; the opponent kept 2/10 clean sheets.

Servette vs St. Gallen

Country

Switzerland

League

Super League

Match time

Sun, Sep 06, 15:00 GMT+3