Qarabag vs Araz

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Qarabag favourites at 73% (Araz 10%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 0.55, 6 wins in Qarabag's last 10 matches to 2 for Araz and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 30%. Qarabag won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 8 Mar 2026, when Qarabag won 6-0.