Heerenveen vs AZ Alkmaar

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 66% (Heerenveen 18%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.53 to 1.26, 8 wins in AZ Alkmaar's last 10 matches to 4 for Heerenveen and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 76% and both teams scoring at 67%. AZ Alkmaar won 3-2, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• AZ Alkmaar have won 7 matches in a row.
• They last met on 12 Apr 2026, when AZ Alkmaar won 3-0.