Lok. Sofia vs Ludogorets

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ludogorets favourites at 80% (Lok. Sofia 7%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.37 to 0.52, 6 wins in Ludogorets's last 10 matches to 1 for Lok. Sofia and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 47%. Ludogorets won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Lok. Sofia have gone 8 matches without a win.
• Ludogorets are unbeaten in 7 matches.
• They last met on 7 Feb 2026, when Ludogorets won 3-1.