Troyes vs Strasbourg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Troyes favourites at 80% (Strasbourg 8%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 2.85 to 0.77 and 5 wins in Troyes's last 9 matches to 2 for Strasbourg. It put over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%. Strasbourg won 6-2, against the model's 80% for Troyes.

Key facts before the match

• Troyes are unbeaten in 8 matches.
• They last met on 21 May 2023, when it finished 1-1.