Kravchenko G. vs Milev Y.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 69%. Milev Y. won a set in 7/9 (78%) recent completed clay matches; the high-quality match model's 37% outright forecast converts to a conservative 65% win-a-set estimate, the current 35% no-vig outright market implies about 64% to win a set, and there is no usable dated H2H. Main risk: the match model gives only 37% outright win probability.