Hamburger SV vs Mainz

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Mainz favourites at 86% (Hamburger SV 6%, draw 8%). That rests on expected goals of 3.99 to 1.12 and 8 wins in Mainz's last 10 matches to 5 for Hamburger SV. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 58%. Mainz won 5-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Mainz are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 20 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.