Paul T. vs Alcaraz C.

Prediction and result

Before the match, the model gave Alcaraz C. a 79% chance on hard courts. That rests on a ranking of No. 3 against No. 21 and a 6-2 head-to-head lead. Alcaraz C. won 3-0 in sets, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Alcaraz C. has won 4 matches in a row.
• Paul T. has won 7 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Alcaraz C. has won 8 of the last 10 matches on hard courts.
• Paul T. has won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 25 Jan 2026, when Alcaraz C. won 3-0.