Daily picks

Jeju SK vs Gwangju FC

Country

South Korea

League

K League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 08:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 7/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/19. Current examples. Jeju SK 1-1 away to Pohang on 2026-11-01. Jeju SK 1-3 away to Incheon on 2026-10-24. Gwangju FC 1-1 at home against Gimcheon Sangmu on 2026-10-31. Gwangju FC 3-0 away to Bucheon FC 1995 on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 0-1 on 2026-09-09. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The high quality model gives a secondary 84% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Jeju SK 1-0 away to Gangwon on 2026-09-20. Gwangju FC 0-1 at home against Jeju SK on 2026-09-09. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Toyama vs Diamond Dolphins

Country

Japan

League

B.League Premier

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. In the current 60-day sample, Diamond Dolphins won 10 of 10 completed games and Toyama won 6 of 10. Their mean scoring margins were +18.9 and -3.2 points respectively. Diamond Dolphins won 8 of 8 at away venues and Toyama won 1 of 5 at home. Diamond Dolphins scored 98-69 away to Utsunomiya Brex on 2026-10-21. Toyama scored 77-99 at home against Utsunomiya Brex on 2026-10-04. The latest listed head-to-head was 91-58 from Diamond Dolphins’s perspective on 2026-04-05. Main risk: Toyama won their last two away games against Chiba and six of ten overall. The latest direct meeting is from April and was at Diamond Dolphins, so it has limited venue relevance. The supplied 85% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Nara vs Tokushima Gambarous

Country

Japan

League

B.League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:05 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. In the current 60-day sample, Tokushima Gambarous won 8 of 10 completed games and Nara won 0 of 10. Their mean scoring margins were +8.3 and -19.5 points respectively. Tokushima Gambarous won 4 of 6 at away venues and Nara won 0 of 8 at home. Tokushima Gambarous scored 79-72 away to Nagoya Fighting Eagles on 2026-10-11. Nara scored 65-81 away to Nagoya Fighting Eagles on 2026-10-25. The latest listed head-to-head was 97-87 from Tokushima Gambarous’s perspective on 2026-11-06. Main risk: Today is a quick rematch after the November 6 game, which already counts in both form windows. Nara lost by only three on October 4, and Tokushima lost both current games against Tryhoop Okayama. The supplied 89% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Taian Tiankuang vs Xiamen Feilu

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model 74%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Taian Tiankuang WWLDWDDDLD(3-5-2); Xiamen Feilu LDWDLWLLWD(3-3-4). H2H (home side): D. Main risk: an outright Xiamen Feilu win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Nantong Haimen vs Ganzhou Ruishi

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90% (capped from 94% to avoid overconfidence). Model 94%, last-10 empirical 95%. Form: Nantong Haimen WWWDWWDDDW(6-4-0); Ganzhou Ruishi LLDDLWLLLL(1-2-7). H2H (home side): DWWDWD. Main risk: an outright Ganzhou Ruishi win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model 73%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Qingdao Red Lions WWLDLLWLDW(4-2-4); Chengdu Rongcheng B DLLDLDDLDW(1-5-4). H2H (home side): D. Main risk: an outright Chengdu Rongcheng B win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Changchun Xidu vs Wenzhou Professional

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 81%. Model 77%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Changchun Xidu DDWWDDWWDL(4-5-1); Wenzhou Professional LDLLDLWWDD(2-4-4). H2H (home side): W. Main risk: an outright Wenzhou Professional win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Nanjing City

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 86%. Model 91%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Guangdong GZ-Power DDLWWWDDWW(5-4-1) r1/29; Nanjing City WWWDLLLLLL(3-1-6) r12/29. H2H (home side): WWW. Main risk: an outright Nanjing City win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Dalian K'un City vs Meizhou Hakka

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Model 86%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Dalian K'un City LWDDLLWDDW(3-4-3) r11/29; Meizhou Hakka LLLLDLWLDL(1-2-7) r15/29. H2H (home side): L. Main risk: an outright Meizhou Hakka win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Nantong Zhiyun vs Foshan Nanshi

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 89%. Model 98%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Nantong Zhiyun LWWWWWLWDL(6-1-3) r2/29; Foshan Nanshi LLLLWDLDLL(1-2-7) r16/29. H2H (home side): WDW. Main risk: an outright Foshan Nanshi win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Beijing Technology vs Wuhan Three Towns B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Model 74%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Beijing Technology DDDDWLWWDW(4-5-1); Wuhan Three Towns B LLWDWLDWLL(3-2-5). H2H (home side): DLW. Main risk: an outright Wuhan Three Towns B win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 72%, last-10 empirical 65%. Form: Wuxi Wugou WWLWDWLWLW(6-1-3) r7/29; Changchun Yatai WWDDDLDWWL(4-4-2) r9/29. H2H (home side): W. Main risk: an outright Changchun Yatai win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Shaanxi Union vs Guangxi Hengchen

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Model 81%, last-10 empirical 70%. Form: Shaanxi Union WLWWWWDLWW(7-1-2) r3/29; Guangxi Hengchen LLDDLWWWLW(4-2-4) r4/29. H2H (home side): LWW. Main risk: an outright Guangxi Hengchen win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Shanghai Second vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Model 74%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Shanghai Second WDDLDDLDLL(1-5-4); Guangzhou Dandelion DLDWDLLDWD(2-5-3). H2H (home side): L. Main risk: an outright Shanghai Second win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Qingdao Red Lions vs Chengdu Rongcheng B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/19 for this market and 7/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/18. Current examples. Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 away to Wuhan Three Towns B on 2026-10-31. Qingdao Red Lions 1-0 at home against Ganzhou Ruishi on 2026-10-24. Chengdu Rongcheng B 1-1 at home against Beijing Technology on 2026-10-31. Chengdu Rongcheng B 1-1 at home against Qingdao Red Lions on 2026-10-13. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-1 on 2026-10-13. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The medium quality model gives a secondary 87% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Chengdu Rongcheng B 1-3 away to Taian Tiankuang on 2026-10-24. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Guangdong Mingtu vs Lanzhou Longyuan

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/19. Current examples. Guangdong Mingtu 2-1 away to Dalian Yingbo B on 2026-10-31. Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 at home against Changchun Xidu on 2026-10-25. Lanzhou Longyuan 0-0 away to Wenzhou Professional on 2026-10-24. Lanzhou Longyuan 0-0 at home against Guangzhou Dandelion on 2026-10-17. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2026-10-11. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The high quality model gives a secondary 91% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Lanzhou Longyuan 3-1 at home against Hubei Istar on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Changchun Xidu vs Wenzhou Professional

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/19. Current examples. Changchun Xidu 0-0 away to Guangzhou Dandelion on 2026-10-31. Changchun Xidu 0-0 away to Guangdong Mingtu on 2026-10-25. Wenzhou Professional 0-1 at home against Shanghai Second on 2026-10-31. Wenzhou Professional 0-0 at home against Lanzhou Longyuan on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2026-10-12. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The medium quality model gives a secondary 89% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Changchun Xidu 2-2 away to Beijing Technology on 2026-08-15. Wenzhou Professional 0-4 away to Dalian Yingbo B on 2026-10-18. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Guangdong GZ-Power vs Nanjing City

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 8/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 18/20. Current examples. Guangdong GZ-Power 1-1 away to Shijiazhuang Gongfu on 2026-10-31. Guangdong GZ-Power 1-1 at home against Suzhou Dongwu on 2026-10-25. Nanjing City 2-0 at home against Dalian K'un City on 2026-10-31. Nanjing City 5-2 away to Foshan Nanshi on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 0-1 on 2026-07-18. The high quality model gives a secondary 81% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Nanjing City 1-0 at home against Shijiazhuang Gongfu on 2026-10-18. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Hubei Istar vs Dalian Yingbo B

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 15/18 for this market and 8/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 14/17. Current examples. Hubei Istar 1-1 at home against Shanghai Second on 2026-10-25. Hubei Istar 0-1 away to Changchun Xidu on 2026-10-18. Dalian Yingbo B 1-2 at home against Guangdong Mingtu on 2026-10-31. Dalian Yingbo B 2-1 away to Guangzhou Dandelion on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-1 on 2026-10-11. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The medium quality model gives a secondary 85% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Hubei Istar 1-3 away to Lanzhou Longyuan on 2026-10-31. Dalian Yingbo B 4-0 at home against Wenzhou Professional on 2026-10-18. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Wuxi Wugou vs Changchun Yatai

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 71%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 10/12 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/20. Current examples. Wuxi Wugou 2-1 away to Guangxi Hengchen on 2026-10-31. Wuxi Wugou 2-0 at home against Shaanxi Union on 2026-10-25. Changchun Yatai 4-1 at home against Meizhou Hakka on 2026-10-24. Changchun Yatai 2-2 away to Guangxi Hengchen on 2026-10-17. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-5 on 2026-07-17. The high quality model gives a secondary 71% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Wuxi Wugou 1-0 at home against Ningbo Professional on 2026-09-29. Changchun Yatai 1-0 at home against Nantong Zhiyun on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Ningbo Professional vs Dingnan Ganlian

Country

China

League

League One

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 7/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/20. Current examples. Ningbo Professional 1-1 at home against Suzhou Dongwu on 2026-10-17. Ningbo Professional 0-0 at home against Nanjing City on 2026-10-11. Dingnan Ganlian 0-0 at home against Shenzhen Juniors on 2026-10-31. Dingnan Ganlian 1-2 at home against Yanbian Longding on 2026-10-25. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 0-1 on 2026-07-18. The high quality model gives a secondary 84% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Ningbo Professional 4-1 away to Foshan Nanshi on 2026-10-31. Dingnan Ganlian 1-3 away to Guangdong GZ-Power on 2026-10-11. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Shanghai Second vs Guangzhou Dandelion

Country

China

League

League Two

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 09:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 14/18 for this market and 7/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 14/17. Current examples. Shanghai Second 1-0 away to Wenzhou Professional on 2026-10-31. Shanghai Second 1-1 away to Hubei Istar on 2026-10-25. Guangzhou Dandelion 0-0 at home against Changchun Xidu on 2026-10-31. Guangzhou Dandelion 1-2 at home against Dalian Yingbo B on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 3-1 on 2026-10-12. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The medium quality model gives a secondary 90% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Shanghai Second 1-3 away to Guangzhou Dandelion on 2026-10-12. Guangzhou Dandelion 3-1 at home against Shanghai Second on 2026-10-12. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Borneo vs PSM Makassar

Country

Indonesia

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 11:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Model 74%, market-implied 81%, last-10 empirical 65%. Form: Borneo LWWWLDWLWL(5-1-4) r11/7; PSM Makassar WLDWWLDDLL(3-3-4) r13/8. H2H (home side): WWDLDD. Main risk: an outright PSM Makassar win; DC protects only the draw.

Gia Lai vs Hanoi FC

Country

Vietnam

League

V.League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 75%, last-10 empirical 70%. Form: Gia Lai LLLWLLLLWD(2-1-7) r14/6; Hanoi FC WLWWDLLDLW(4-2-4) r8/6. H2H (home side): WDLWLW. Main risk: an outright Gia Lai win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Naftan vs ML Vitebsk

Country

Belarus

League

Vysshaya Liga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90% (capped from 92% to avoid overconfidence). Model 98%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Naftan LLLWWDLLLL(2-1-7) r16/27; ML Vitebsk WLWWWWWDDD(6-3-1) r1/27. H2H (home side): LLLLLL. Main risk: an outright Naftan win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Horizont Minsk W vs Rguor Minsk W

Country

Belarus

League

Premier League Women

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. In the current 60-day sample, Horizont Minsk W won 7 of 7 completed games and Rguor Minsk W won 1 of 7. Their mean scoring margins were +29.14 and -27.14 points respectively. Horizont Minsk W won 4 of 4 at home and Rguor Minsk W won 1 of 4 at away venues. Horizont Minsk W scored 114-44 at home against Gomel W on 2026-10-31. Rguor Minsk W scored 53-70 at home against Gomel W on 2026-10-28. The latest listed head-to-head was 94-60 from Horizont Minsk W’s perspective on 2024-03-30. Main risk: Horizont have only seven current completed games and the head-to-head is old. Rguor have one current win, so roster changes and blowout-heavy margins limit confidence. The supplied 98% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Tammeka vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Model 73%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Tammeka WLWLLWWLLW(5-0-5) r5/35; Parnu JK Vaprus LDLLDDLLLW(1-3-6) r8/35. H2H (home side): LDDLLL. Main risk: a slow, cagey game; totals variance on a 2.5 line.

Narva vs Harju JK Laagri

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Model 94%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Narva LLLLLDDLDL(0-3-7) r10/35; Harju JK Laagri LLWWWWWDWL(6-1-3) r6/35. H2H (home side): LLLLLW. Main risk: an outright Narva win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Levadia vs Kalju

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Model 93%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Levadia WWWWWWWDWW(9-1-0) r1/35; Kalju WWWLDLWWLL(5-1-4) r4/35. H2H (home side): WDDLWD. Main risk: an outright Kalju win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Paide vs Flora

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 9/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Paide 0-2 at home against Kalju on 2026-10-28. Paide 2-1 at home against Narva on 2026-10-18. Flora 7-2 at home against Tartu Welco on 2026-11-04. Flora 2-0 at home against Narva on 2026-11-01. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2026-08-30. The high quality model gives a secondary 85% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Paide 1-0 away to Parnu JK Vaprus on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Tammeka vs Parnu JK Vaprus

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 19/20 for this market and 10/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 19/20. Current examples. Tammeka 2-1 at home against Harju JK Laagri on 2026-10-31. Tammeka 1-2 away to Levadia on 2026-10-27. Parnu JK Vaprus 1-1 at home against Kuressaare on 2026-10-28. Parnu JK Vaprus 2-4 away to Nomme Utd on 2026-10-23. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 5-1 on 2026-07-11. The high quality model gives a secondary 90% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Parnu JK Vaprus 0-1 at home against Paide on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Levadia vs Kalju

Country

Estonia

League

Meistriliiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 10/11 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Levadia 4-3 away to Nomme Utd on 2026-10-31. Levadia 2-1 at home against Tammeka on 2026-10-27. Kalju 2-0 away to Paide on 2026-10-28. Kalju 2-1 at home against Flora on 2026-10-25. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 2-3 on 2026-08-30. The high quality model gives a secondary 87% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Levadia 1-0 at home against Paide on 2026-10-11. Kalju 1-0 at home against Kuressaare on 2026-11-01. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Perth Glory vs Newcastle Jets

Country

Australia

League

A-League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 13:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 77%. Model 74%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Perth Glory WLLLWDWDWD(4-3-3) r8/3; Newcastle Jets LLLDDLLLDD(0-4-6) r10/3. H2H (home side): LWDLDD. Main risk: one side keeping a clean sheet.

Phu Dong Ninh Binh vs Bac Ninh

Country

Vietnam

League

V.League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. Model 76%, last-10 empirical 65%. Form: Phu Dong Ninh Binh LLWDWWLWWW(6-1-3) r5/6; Bac Ninh WDDLWWLWDL(4-3-3) r10/6. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: an outright Bac Ninh win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Hai Phong vs Song Lam Nghe An

Country

Vietnam

League

V.League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 81%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Hai Phong WLWLLWLDLL(3-1-6) r7/6; Song Lam Nghe An DWDDWWWLLW(5-3-2) r2/6. H2H (home side): LWDLDD. Main risk: an outright Hai Phong win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow

Country

Russia

League

Premier League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Model 95%, market-implied 81%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Fakel Voronezh LDLWWLWLDL(3-2-5) r16/13; Dynamo Moscow WLLWWWWWWW(8-0-2) r2/13. H2H (home side): LDLDDW. Main risk: an outright Fakel Voronezh win; DC protects only the draw.

Andijan vs Lok. Tashkent

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 81%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Andijan LDWLLLDWLW(3-2-5) r10/26; Lok. Tashkent LDWDWLWWDW(5-3-2) r7/26. H2H (home side): DLWDLL. Main risk: an outright Andijan win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Kibirkstis Vilnius W vs RSU Merks W

Country

Lithuania

League

Moteru Lyga Women

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. In the current 60-day sample, Kibirkstis Vilnius W won 8 of 10 completed games and RSU Merks W won 3 of 7. Their mean scoring margins were +18.6 and -18.57 points respectively. Kibirkstis Vilnius W won 4 of 4 at home and RSU Merks W won 2 of 3 at away venues. Kibirkstis Vilnius W scored 90-71 at home against Siauliai W on 2026-10-04. RSU Merks W scored 48-115 at home against Siauliai W on 2026-10-17. The latest listed head-to-head was 83-44 from Kibirkstis Vilnius W’s perspective on 2026-01-10. Main risk: Kibirkstis lost their latest two road games to Athinaikos and Zaragoza. RSU Merks won 67-64 away at Alytaus Dzukija on November 6, and cross-competition scores are only partly comparable. The supplied 97% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Mashal Muborak vs Termez Surkhon

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90% (capped from 94% to avoid overconfidence). Model 98%, last-10 empirical 90%. Form: Mashal Muborak LLLLLLLLLL(0-0-10) r16/26; Termez Surkhon DDDDWLWLDD(2-6-2) r12/26. H2H (home side): LDDLLW. Main risk: an outright Mashal Muborak win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Mashal Muborak vs Termez Surkhon

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 19/20 for this market and 10/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 19/20. Current examples. Mashal Muborak 0-3 at home against Din. Samarkand on 2026-10-31. Mashal Muborak 1-2 away to Bunyodkor on 2026-10-22. Termez Surkhon 1-1 at home against Nasaf Qarshi on 2026-10-31. Termez Surkhon 0-0 away to Buxoro on 2026-10-23. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 2-1 on 2026-04-22. The high quality model gives a secondary 89% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Mashal Muborak 2-5 away to Sogdiana on 2026-09-05. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Botev Vratsa vs Lok. Plovdiv

Country

Bulgaria

League

Efbet League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 7/7 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 18/20. Current examples. Botev Vratsa 0-1 away to Cherno More on 2026-11-02. Botev Vratsa 1-1 away to Lok. Sofia on 2026-10-24. Lok. Plovdiv 0-3 at home against Ludogorets on 2026-10-31. Lok. Plovdiv 0-0 at home against Slavia Sofia on 2026-10-26. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2026-03-22. The high quality model gives a secondary 87% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Botev Vratsa 2-2 away to Dunav Ruse on 2026-09-19. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Belshina vs Isloch

Country

Belarus

League

Vysshaya Liga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 14:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 90%. Model 96%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Belshina LLWLLLWDDD(2-3-5) r13/27; Isloch WWWWDLWDWD(6-3-1) r2/27. H2H (home side): LLLLWL. Main risk: an outright Belshina win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Persija Jakarta vs Persebaya

Country

Indonesia

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Model 86%, market-implied 81%, last-10 empirical 70%. Form: Persija Jakarta DLWWLWWWWW(7-1-2) r3/8; Persebaya LDWLDWDWDW(4-4-2) r7/8. H2H (home side): LWWDLD. Main risk: an outright Persebaya win; DC protects only the draw.

Safa Baku vs Araz

Country

Azerbaijan

League

Premier League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 70%, last-10 empirical 65%. Form: Safa Baku DWLLLLLLLW(2-1-7) r11/10; Araz DWLLLLDLLL(1-2-7) r12/10. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: a slow, cagey game; totals variance on a 2.5 line.

Persita vs Isenmulang Kalteng

Country

Indonesia

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 85%. Model 92%, market-implied 88%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Persita LWDWWDWDLD(4-4-2) r6/7; Isenmulang Kalteng LDDWLLLLWW(3-2-5) r17/8. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: an outright Isenmulang Kalteng win; DC protects only the draw.

Persijap Jepara vs Garudayaksa

Country

Indonesia

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Model 79%, market-implied 66%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Persijap Jepara LDDLLLLLLD(0-3-7) r18/8; Garudayaksa WLLWLDLDDW(3-3-4) r14/8. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: an outright Persijap Jepara win; DC protects only the draw.

VfL Osnabruck vs Kaiserslautern

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 8/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. VfL Osnabruck 0-2 away to Wolfsburg on 2026-10-31. VfL Osnabruck 3-0 at home against Greuther Furth on 2026-10-25. Kaiserslautern 0-3 at home against Hertha Berlin on 2026-10-31. Kaiserslautern 2-0 away to Hannover on 2026-10-28. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 3-2 on 2024-03-10. The high quality model gives a secondary 80% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: VfL Osnabruck 1-4 away to Bochum on 2026-10-02. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Nurnberg vs Darmstadt

Country

Germany

League

2. Bundesliga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/20. Current examples. Nurnberg 3-1 away to St. Pauli on 2026-11-01. Nurnberg 2-5 away to Bayer Leverkusen on 2026-10-28. Darmstadt 1-1 at home against Magdeburg on 2026-10-31. Darmstadt 2-0 away to Elversberg on 2026-10-27. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 2-0 on 2026-01-23. The high quality model gives a secondary 90% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Nurnberg 0-1 at home against Kaiserslautern on 2026-10-24. Darmstadt 0-0 at home against St. Pauli on 2026-10-23. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh

Country

Vietnam

League

V.League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 74%, last-10 empirical 70%. Form: Cong An Ha Noi DDWDLLWWLW(4-3-3) r3/6; Ho Chi Minh LWWDDLWLLL(3-2-5) r6/6. H2H (home side): WWWDLL. Main risk: an outright Ho Chi Minh win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Cong An Ha Noi vs Ho Chi Minh

Country

Vietnam

League

V.League 1

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:15 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 74%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/20. Current examples. Cong An Ha Noi 0-0 at home against Kyoto on 2026-11-03. Cong An Ha Noi 1-1 away to Song Lam Nghe An on 2026-10-31. Ho Chi Minh 0-1 at home against Da Nang on 2026-11-01. Ho Chi Minh 1-0 away to Phu Dong Ninh Binh on 2026-10-25. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 5-0 on 2026-08-30. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The high quality model gives a secondary 84% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Cong An Ha Noi 3-2 away to Shanghai Port on 2026-10-27. Ho Chi Minh 3-1 at home against Hanoi FC on 2026-09-05. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Wrexham vs Wolves

Country

England

League

Championship

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 78%, market-implied 69%, last-10 empirical 70%. Form: Wrexham WLLWLDWLDD(3-3-4) r16/14; Wolves WWWDWLLWLW(6-1-3) r2/14. H2H (home side): LD. Main risk: an outright Wrexham win; DC protects only the draw.

Wrexham vs Wolves

Country

England

League

Championship

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 15:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Wrexham 2-0 at home against Middlesbrough on 2026-11-04. Wrexham 0-1 away to Sheffield Utd on 2026-10-30. Wolves 2-1 away to Bristol City on 2026-11-04. Wolves 3-0 at home against Cardiff on 2026-10-31. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2013-07-16. The high quality model gives a secondary 79% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Wrexham 4-1 at home against Preston on 2026-10-17. Wolves 1-3 at home against Bolton on 2026-10-13. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Gaziantep vs Konya BBSK

Country

Turkey

League

TBL

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 75%. Model 69%, market-implied 80% (odds 1.13). TBL | Gaziantep 7-3 pf76.9 pa74.3 | opp 2-8 | h2h 5-4. Main risk: rotation or a cold shooting night; odds leave little edge.

Lokomotiv Kuban vs Parma Perm

Country

Russia

League

VTB United League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 73%. Model 72%, market-implied 74% (odds 1.24). VTB United League | Lokomotiv Kuban 8-2 pf88.5 pa77.0 | opp 6-4 | h2h 7-3. Main risk: rotation or a cold shooting night; odds leave little edge.

CBK Mersin W vs Nesibe Aydin W

Country

Turkey

League

KBSL Women

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Model 84%, market-implied 76% (odds 1.18). KBSL Women | CBK Mersin W 7-3 pf78.5 pa66.3 | opp 5-5 | h2h 7-3. Main risk: rotation or a cold shooting night; odds leave little edge.

Burgos CF vs Celta Vigo B

Country

Spain

League

LaLiga2

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 82%. Model 87%, market-implied 80%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Burgos CF DWWWLLWWWD(6-2-2) r8/12; Celta Vigo B DLDWLDLLWL(2-3-5) r16/12. H2H (home side): WDWWWL. Main risk: an outright Celta Vigo B win; DC protects only the draw.

Arsenal Tula vs Chelyabinsk

Country

Russia

League

FNL

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 7/8 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Arsenal Tula 0-4 away to Pari NN on 2026-10-30. Arsenal Tula 4-3 at home against Kamaz on 2026-10-24. Chelyabinsk 2-0 at home against Shinnik Yaroslavl on 2026-11-01. Chelyabinsk 1-3 at home against Ural on 2026-10-25. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 0-0 on 2026-04-22. The high quality model gives a secondary 87% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Arsenal Tula 0-1 away to Tekstilshtik on 2026-09-08. Chelyabinsk 0-1 away to S. Kostroma on 2026-10-13. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Csikszereda M. Ciuc vs U. Cluj

Country

Romania

League

Superliga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 9/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 17/20. Current examples. Csikszereda M. Ciuc 0-2 away to FC Rapid Bucuresti on 2026-10-30. Csikszereda M. Ciuc 1-2 at home against FC Bihor on 2026-10-27. U. Cluj 3-1 away to CFR Cluj on 2026-10-28. U. Cluj 3-0 away to Corvinul on 2026-10-23. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 4-1 on 2026-02-14. The high quality model gives a secondary 83% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Csikszereda M. Ciuc 0-1 at home against Univ. Craiova on 2026-10-11. U. Cluj 1-0 at home against FCSB on 2026-11-02. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Malaga vs Racing Santander

Country

Spain

League

LaLiga

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 8/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 18/20. Current examples. Malaga 1-2 away to Betis on 2026-10-31. Malaga 3-0 away to Alcazar on 2026-10-27. Racing Santander 0-3 at home against Real Madrid on 2026-11-01. Racing Santander 2-0 away to Ribadesella CF on 2026-10-29. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-1 on 2026-05-24. The high quality model gives a secondary 87% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Malaga 0-1 away to Getafe on 2026-09-20. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

BC Olimpas Palanga vs Omega-Tauras

Country

Lithuania

League

NKL

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 70%. In the current 60-day sample, BC Olimpas Palanga won 8 of 10 completed games and Omega-Tauras won 5 of 10. Their mean scoring margins were +12.2 and -0.3 points respectively. BC Olimpas Palanga won 3 of 3 at home and Omega-Tauras won 5 of 6 at away venues. BC Olimpas Palanga scored 102-76 at home against Plunges Olimpas on 2026-10-15. Omega-Tauras scored 82-93 at home against Plunges Olimpas on 2026-10-10. The latest listed head-to-head was 80-65 from BC Olimpas Palanga’s perspective on 2026-02-26. Main risk: Omega-Tauras won five of six current away games. Palanga have only three current home games and lost one of the latest three direct meetings. The supplied 81% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

BMS Herlev W vs Horsholm W

Country

Denmark

League

Kvindebasketligaen Women

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:00 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. In the current 60-day sample, BMS Herlev W won 5 of 7 completed games and Horsholm W won 1 of 8. Their mean scoring margins were +6.14 and -19.38 points respectively. BMS Herlev W won 3 of 3 at home and Horsholm W won 0 of 3 at away venues. BMS Herlev W scored 68-59 at home against Falcon W on 2026-09-26. Horsholm W scored 56-82 away to Falcon W on 2026-10-10. The latest listed head-to-head was 73-40 from BMS Herlev W’s perspective on 2026-09-23. Main risk: BMS lost 63-85 away at Skovbakken, a worse margin than Horsholm’s 65-78 home loss. The September 23 direct result appears in both form windows and supplies no additional independent observation. The supplied 93% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Qizilqum vs Navbahor Namangan

Country

Uzbekistan

League

Super League

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 81%, last-10 empirical 75%. Form: Qizilqum DDWDWLWWLW(5-3-2) r9/26; Navbahor Namangan WWWDDWWDWW(7-3-0) r3/26. H2H (home side): DLWLDL. Main risk: an outright Qizilqum win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Cardiff Met Archers W vs Caledonia Gladiators W

Country

United Kingdom

League

SLB Women

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:30 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 79%. In the current 60-day sample, Caledonia Gladiators W won 5 of 5 completed games and Cardiff Met Archers W won 2 of 5. Their mean scoring margins were +29.4 and -7.4 points respectively. Caledonia Gladiators W won 2 of 2 at away venues and Cardiff Met Archers W won 1 of 2 at home. Caledonia Gladiators W scored 98-72 away to Oaklands Wolves W on 2026-10-24. Cardiff Met Archers W scored 85-93 away to Oaklands Wolves W on 2026-10-10. The latest listed head-to-head was 108-56 from Caledonia Gladiators W’s perspective on 2026-04-11. Main risk: Only five current scores per side and two Caledonia away observations are available. Cardiff beat Essex at home and the latest direct meeting is from April. The supplied 94% win model is supporting context. No current decimal price was verified.

Paris 13 Atl. vs La Roche

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 80%. Model 81%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Paris 13 Atl. DWLWDLDDWL(3-4-3) r10/11; La Roche WLWWWDDWDW(6-3-1) r1/11. H2H (home side): WL. Main risk: an outright Paris 13 Atl. win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Bourg en Bresse vs Le Puy-en-Velay

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 75%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Bourg en Bresse LLLDDLLLLL(0-2-8) r18/11; Le Puy-en-Velay DWWLWLDLWL(4-2-4) r6/11. H2H (home side): WDWWWD. Main risk: one early goal opening the game up.

Thionville vs Cannes

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 84%. Model 82%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Thionville DLLLDLDDWW(2-4-4) r12/11; Cannes WLWDDDWWDD(4-5-1) r5/11. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: an outright Thionville win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Aubagne vs Amiens

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 87%. Model 94%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: Aubagne LLLWLLDWLL(2-1-7) r17/11; Amiens DDWDWDWWLL(4-4-2) r8/11. H2H (home side): none. Main risk: an outright Aubagne win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

Slask Wroclaw vs Piast Gliwice

Country

Poland

League

Ekstraklasa

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 83%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 19/20 for this market and 9/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 19/20. Current examples. Slask Wroclaw 1-3 away to Radomiak Radom on 2026-11-02. Slask Wroclaw 1-2 away to Odra Opole on 2026-10-29. Piast Gliwice 2-2 away to Wisla Plock on 2026-10-31. Piast Gliwice 3-1 at home against Cracovia on 2026-10-24. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-3 on 2025-02-03. The high quality model gives a secondary 82% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Piast Gliwice 0-0 at home against Gornik Zabrze on 2026-10-27. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Villefranche vs Quevilly Rouen

Country

France

League

National

Match time

Sat, Nov 07, 16:45 GMT+3

Estimated probability: 76%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 18/20 for this market and 8/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 18/20. Current examples. Villefranche 1-1 away to Orleans on 2026-10-31. Villefranche 2-1 at home against Cannes on 2026-10-17. Quevilly Rouen 0-2 away to Bastia on 2026-10-31. Quevilly Rouen 3-2 at home against Orleans on 2026-10-17. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 1-2 on 2026-01-30. The high quality model gives a secondary 71% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Villefranche 0-0 at home against La Roche on 2026-09-12. Quevilly Rouen 0-0 away to Versailles on 2026-09-19. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.

Paris 13 Atl. vs La Roche