MK Dons vs Swindon

Match preview

The model makes MK Dons favourites at 56% (Swindon 23%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.85 to 1.08, 3 wins in MK Dons's last 10 matches to 1 for Swindon and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 54%.

Key facts

• MK Dons average 2.5 goals a game at home.
• Swindon failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away games.
• They last met on 14 Mar 2026, when MK Dons won 2-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.