Football · League Two · England
Swindon vs Rotherham
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Swindon favourites at 47% (Rotherham 28%, draw 25%). That rests on expected goals of 1.36 to 0.96, Swindon sitting 11th in the table to Rotherham's 23rd and 6 wins from the last 9 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Swindon about 40% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 52% and both teams scoring at 54%.
Key facts
- Rotherham have gone 8 matches without a win.
- Rotherham failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.
- They last met on 1 Nov 2025, when Swindon won 2-1.
- 8 of the last 9 meetings had three or more goals.
England•League Two
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-0-3
Last 10 matches
1010
6/1412/21
0.601.20
1.402.10
4/107/10
1/103/10
9/109/10
3/106/10
1/101/10
6/103/10
6/108/10
3/105/10
4/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Swindon at homeRotherham away
54
0/51/4
2/51/4
3/52/4
0.600.50
1.401.00
3/52/4
0/50/4
0/50/4
5/53/4
2/51/4
0/51/4
2/52/4
1/50/4
3/51/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Swindon: 1.36
Expected Goals
Rotherham: 0.96
Swindon
47%
Draw
25%
Rotherham
28%
Over 2.5: 52%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 9.1%
1 — Swindon
2.30▼
Implied 40%
Edge +7.1%
X
3.50▲
Implied 26%
Edge -1.2%
2 — Rotherham
2.70
Implied 34%
Edge -6.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Swindon · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Bristol Rovers#12 vs Swindon#11
0-0D
20 Oct2026
Barnet#2 vs Swindon#11
1-3W
17 Oct2026
Swindon#11 vs Walsall#5
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Swindon#11 vs Crewe#3
0-1L
03 Oct2026
Rochdale#16 vs Swindon#11
1-0L
26 Sept2026
Swindon#11 vs Accrington#13
1-1D
22 Sept2026
Swindon#11 vs Newport#14
0-2L
19 Sept2026
Salford#1 vs Swindon#11
1-0L
15 Sept2026
Swindon#11 vs Crystal Palace U21#3
1-2L
12 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Swindon#11
4-0L
Team 2 Form
Rotherham · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Rotherham#23 vs Shrewsbury#8
3-3D
20 Oct2026
Rotherham#23 vs Newport#14
2-2D
17 Oct2026
Fleetwood#18 vs Rotherham#23
2-0L
10 Oct2026
Rotherham#23 vs Gillingham#7
1-4L
06 Oct2026
Rotherham#23 vs Bradford City#1
0-4L
03 Oct2026
Exeter#10 vs Rotherham#23
1-0L
26 Sept2026
Rotherham#23 vs Crewe#3
1-1D
22 Sept2026
York City#6 vs Rotherham#23
1-1D
19 Sept2026
Northampton#19 vs Rotherham#23
0-1W
12 Sept2026
Rotherham#23 vs Salford#1
3-3D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
01 Nov2025
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
1-2•
03 May2014
Swindon#11 vs Rotherham#23
1-2•
12 Oct2013
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
0-4•
14 Jan2012
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
1-2•
03 Sept2011
Swindon#11 vs Rotherham#23
3-2•
18 Feb2006
Swindon#11 vs Rotherham#23
2-3•
03 Dec2005
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
0-1•
31 Mar2001
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
4-3•
16 Dec2000
Swindon#11 vs Rotherham#23
2-1•
09 Dec2095
Rotherham#23 vs Swindon#11
0-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Swindon
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