Plymouth vs Swindon

Match preview

The model makes Plymouth favourites at 59% (Swindon 20%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.72 to 0.87 and 6 wins in Plymouth's last 10 matches to 1 for Swindon. It puts over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 54%.

Key facts

• Plymouth are 1st in EFL Trophy on 5 points from 2 games; Swindon are 4th on 0.
• Swindon failed to score in 4 of their last 5 away games.
• They last met on 29 Jul 2023, when Swindon won 3-1.
• 8 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.