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Saturday, November 7, 2026

St Etienne vs Laval

Claude selected St Etienne or draw for St Etienne vs Laval. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • St Etienne or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 88%. Model 96%, market-implied 89%, last-10 empirical 80%. Form: St Etienne LWWWWDLWWW(7-1-2) r1/11; Laval WLDLWDLLLD(2-3-5) r17/11. H2H (home side): WDDWLW. Main risk: an outright Laval win; DC protects only the draw.

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