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Saturday, November 7, 2026

Naftan vs ML Vitebsk

Claude selected ML Vitebsk or draw for Naftan vs ML Vitebsk. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • ML Vitebsk or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 90% (capped from 92% to avoid overconfidence). Model 98%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Naftan LLLWWDLLLL(2-1-7) r16/27; ML Vitebsk WLWWWWWDDD(6-3-1) r1/27. H2H (home side): LLLLLL. Main risk: an outright Naftan win; DC protects only the draw. No bookmaker price to cross-check.

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