Arbroath vs Ayr

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 16/20 for this market and 8/9 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/20. Current examples. Arbroath 1-0 at home against Queen of South on 2026-11-03. Arbroath 0-1 away to Livingston on 2026-10-24. Ayr 2-0 away to Annan on 2026-11-03. Ayr 0-1 at home against Partick Thistle on 2026-10-16. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 2-0 on 2026-08-01. The high quality model gives a secondary 79% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Arbroath 0-4 at home against Raith on 2026-10-31. Ayr 3-2 at home against Queen's Park on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.