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Saturday, November 7, 2026

Arsenal vs Hull

Claude selected Arsenal or draw for Arsenal vs Hull. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • Arsenal or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 90% (capped from 94% to avoid overconfidence). Model 98%, market-implied 95%, last-10 empirical 90%. Form: Arsenal WWDWDWWWLW(7-2-1) r1/9; Hull DDLDLDLDWD(1-6-3) r11/9. H2H (home side): WWWDWW. Main risk: an outright Hull win; DC protects only the draw.

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