Dundee Utd vs Motherwell

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Completed scores from 2026-08-09 onward gave 17/20 for this market and 8/10 in relevant home and away form. Across distinct fixtures the count was 16/19. Current examples. Dundee Utd 2-2 away to Celtic on 2026-10-28. Dundee Utd 3-2 at home against Aberdeen on 2026-10-24. Motherwell 2-2 away to St Johnstone on 2026-10-28. Motherwell 0-2 at home against Hearts on 2026-10-25. The latest listed completed head-to-head was 3-0 on 2026-09-02. 1 listed head-to-head result(s) overlap the form sample and were counted once in the distinct fixture totals. The high quality model gives a secondary 82% cross-check for this exact market from its expected goals via a Poisson total. Main risk: Dundee Utd 1-0 at home against Hibernian on 2026-10-10. Motherwell 1-0 at home against St. Mirren on 2026-10-31. Opposition strength varies across the sample and lineups are unconfirmed. No exact current decimal price verified. Odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.