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Saturday, November 7, 2026

Valencia vs Real Madrid

Claude selected Real Madrid or draw for Valencia vs Real Madrid. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • Real Madrid or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 90%. Model 96%, market-implied 89%, last-10 empirical 85%. Form: Valencia WLDDLWLLLL(2-2-6) r19/11; Real Madrid WWWWWWWLWW(9-0-1) r3/11. H2H (home side): LLWLDL. Main risk: an outright Valencia win; DC protects only the draw.

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