Football · Premier League · Russia
Krasnodar vs CSKA Moscow
Saturday, 07 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes CSKA Moscow favourites at 49% (Krasnodar 30%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.78 to 1.32 and 6 wins in CSKA Moscow's last 10 matches to 2 for Krasnodar. Bookmakers give CSKA Moscow about 29% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 61% and both teams scoring at 63%.
Key facts
- Krasnodar are 4th in Premier League on 23 points from 12 games; CSKA Moscow are 3rd on 25.
- They last met on 17 Mar 2026, when Krasnodar won 4-0.
Russia•Premier League
vs
Saturday, 07 November 2026 at 19:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1420/12
1.502.00
1.401.20
8/109/10
5/106/10
8/107/10
4/103/10
2/103/10
2/101/10
9/1010/10
5/107/10
7/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Krasnodar at homeCska Moscow away
54
1/52/4
2/50/4
2/52/4
1.201.50
1.601.75
4/53/4
2/52/4
0/51/4
5/54/4
2/52/4
0/50/4
1/51/4
2/53/4
4/53/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Krasnodar: 1.32
Expected Goals
Cska Moscow: 1.78
Krasnodar
30%
Draw
21%
Cska Moscow
49%
Over 2.5: 61%
BTTS: 63%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.6%
1 — Krasnodar
2.15
Implied 44%
Edge -14.5%
X
3.60▲
Implied 27%
Edge -5.6%
2 — CSKA Moscow
3.30▼
Implied 29%
Edge +20.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Krasnodar · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Dynamo Moscow#2
2-1W
24 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Baltika#9
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krasnodar#4
3-3D
13 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Fakel Voronezh#16
0-2L
10 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Zenit#1
2-3L
03 Oct2026
fk Rostov#7 vs Krasnodar#4
0-3W
17 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Krasnodar#4
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Akron Togliatti#12
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Krasnodar#4
2-2D
01 Sept2026
Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Krasnodar#4
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Cska Moscow · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Spartak Moscow#5
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Cska Moscow#3
3-1L
14 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs fk Rostov#7
4-0W
11 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-0W
04 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Arsenal Tula#10
3-1W
27 Sept2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Pari nn#1
1-3L
17 Sept2026
Dynamo Makhachkala#10 vs Cska Moscow#3
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rubin Kazan#11
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Zenit#1 vs Cska Moscow#3
1-2W
01 Sept2026
fk Rostov#7 vs Cska Moscow#3
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
17 Mar2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Cska Moscow#3
4-0•
04 Mar2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
3-1•
03 Feb2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
2-2•
07 Dec2025
Krasnodar#4 vs Cska Moscow#3
3-2•
31 Aug2025
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
1-1•
12 Jul2025
Krasnodar#4 vs Cska Moscow#3
0-1•
10 May2025
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
1-0•
10 Feb2025
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
1-2•
18 Sept2024
Cska Moscow#3 vs Krasnodar#4
2-0•
10 Aug2024
Krasnodar#4 vs Cska Moscow#3
2-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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