Football · Premier League · Russia
Rodina Moscow vs Krasnodar
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Krasnodar favourites at 70% (Rodina Moscow 14%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.38 to 0.95 and Krasnodar sitting 4th in the table to Rodina Moscow's 15th. Bookmakers give Krasnodar about 58% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 63% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Key facts
- Both teams scored in 7 of Rodina Moscow's last 10 matches and 7 of Krasnodar's.
- They last met on 3 Feb 2024, when Krasnodar won 3-0.
Russia•Premier League
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 19:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-0-1
Last 10 matches
1010
13/2115/14
1.301.50
2.101.40
8/108/10
4/105/10
9/108/10
8/104/10
1/102/10
2/102/10
9/109/10
7/105/10
7/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Rodina Moscow at homeKrasnodar away
35
0/31/5
2/34/5
1/30/5
1.671.80
2.331.20
3/34/5
2/33/5
0/32/5
3/33/5
2/32/5
0/32/5
0/31/5
2/33/5
3/33/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Rodina Moscow: 0.95
Expected Goals
Krasnodar: 2.38
Rodina Moscow
14%
Draw
16%
Krasnodar
70%
Over 2.5: 63%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.0%
1 — Rodina Moscow
4.80▼
Implied 20%
Edge -6.0%
X
4.30▲
Implied 22%
Edge -6.4%
2 — Krasnodar
1.67▲
Implied 58%
Edge +12.4%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Rodina Moscow · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1L
24 Oct2026
Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Rodina Moscow#15
0-1W
19 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Orenburg#6
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Spartak Moscow#5
2-4L
11 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-0L
04 Oct2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-2L
27 Sept2026
Partizan vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-3W
16 Sept2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Rubin Kazan#11
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Dynamo Makhachkala#10 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-0L
Team 2 Form
Krasnodar · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Dynamo Moscow#2
2-1W
24 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Baltika#9
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krasnodar#4
3-3D
13 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Fakel Voronezh#16
0-2L
10 Oct2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Zenit#1
2-3L
03 Oct2026
fk Rostov#7 vs Krasnodar#4
0-3W
17 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Krasnodar#4
0-0D
13 Sept2026
Krasnodar#4 vs Akron Togliatti#12
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Krasnodar#4
2-2D
01 Sept2026
Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Krasnodar#4
1-1D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 Feb2024
Krasnodar#4 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
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