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Football · Premier League · Russia

Akhmat Grozny vs Rodina Moscow

Saturday, 07 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Akhmat Grozny favourites at 46% (Rodina Moscow 32%, draw 22%). Bookmakers give Akhmat Grozny about 60% once their margin is removed, so the model is less confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

  • Akhmat Grozny have gone 6 matches without a win.
  • Akhmat Grozny are 14th in Premier League on 11 points from 12 games; Rodina Moscow are 15th on 9.
  • Rodina Moscow concede 2 goals a game away from home.
Russia•Premier League
Rank 14 · 11 pts
D2d
L6d
L11d
L15d
D18d
L42d
W46d
D52d
L56d
D61d
1W · 4D · 5L
vs
Rank 15 · 9 pts
L1d
W5d
D10d
L14d
L18d
L25d
W32d
D43d
L48d
L53d
2W · 2D · 6L
Saturday, 07 November 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
10/1713/21
1.001.30
1.702.10
5/108/10
3/104/10
8/109/10
6/108/10
2/101/10
5/102/10
7/109/10
5/107/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Akhmat Grozny at homeRodina Moscow away
57
1/52/7
2/50/7
2/55/7
1.401.14
1.602.00
3/55/7
2/52/7
2/51/7
4/56/7
3/56/7
1/51/7
2/52/7
3/55/7
3/54/7
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Akhmat Grozny: 1.66
Expected Goals
Rodina Moscow: 1.35
Akhmat Grozny
46%
Draw
22%
Rodina Moscow
32%
Over 2.5: 59%
BTTS: 60%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 3.6%
1 — Akhmat Grozny
1.60▼
Implied 60%
Edge -14.3%
X
4.30▲
Implied 22%
Edge -0.4%
2 — Rodina Moscow
5.60▲
Implied 17%
Edge +14.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Akhmat Grozny · # = league position now
27 Oct2026
Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Akhmat Grozny#14
0-0D
23 Oct2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Orenburg#6
0-1L
18 Oct2026
Zenit#1 vs Akhmat Grozny#14
3-2L
14 Oct2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Dynamo Moscow#2
1-2L
11 Oct2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Baltika#9
0-0D
17 Sept2026
Akron Togliatti#12 vs Akhmat Grozny#14
2-0L
13 Sept2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Dynamo Makhachkala#10
3-2W
07 Sept2026
Rubin Kazan#11 vs Akhmat Grozny#14
1-1D
03 Sept2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Akhmat Grozny#14
3-0L
29 Aug2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
3-3D
Team 2 Form
Rodina Moscow · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1L
24 Oct2026
Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Rodina Moscow#15
0-1W
19 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Orenburg#6
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Spartak Moscow#5
2-4L
11 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-0L
04 Oct2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-2L
27 Sept2026
Partizan vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-3W
16 Sept2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Rubin Kazan#11
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1L
06 Sept2026
Dynamo Makhachkala#10 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-0L

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