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Football · Premier League · Russia

Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow

Sunday, 01 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes CSKA Moscow favourites at 48% (Orenburg 31%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.79 to 1.37 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. Bookmakers give CSKA Moscow about 46% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 54%.

Key facts

  • Orenburg are unbeaten in 6 matches.
  • Orenburg are 6th in Premier League on 16 points from 12 games; CSKA Moscow are 3rd on 25.
  • They last met on 11 Jul 2026, when it finished 2-2.
Russia•Premier League
Rank 6 · 16 pts
W1d
W6d
D10d
W14d
W19d
W26d
L26d
D42d
L47d
D53d
5W · 3D · 2L
vs
Rank 3 · 25 pts
W4d
L11d
W15d
W18d
W25d
L32d
W42d
D47d
W54d
L58d
6W · 1D · 3L
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 13:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 1-4-5
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1120/12
1.802.00
1.101.20
7/109/10
6/106/10
7/107/10
4/103/10
3/103/10
3/101/10
7/1010/10
6/107/10
5/106/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Orenburg at homeCska Moscow away
54
3/52/4
2/50/4
0/52/4
2.201.50
1.001.75
4/53/4
4/52/4
2/51/4
3/54/4
2/52/4
2/50/4
1/51/4
4/53/4
3/53/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Orenburg: 1.37
Expected Goals
Cska Moscow: 1.79
Orenburg
31%
Draw
21%
Cska Moscow
48%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 54%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 3.9%
1 — Orenburg
3.20▼
Implied 30%
Edge +0.9%
X
4.00▲
Implied 24%
Edge -3.1%
2 — CSKA Moscow
2.10▲
Implied 46%
Edge +2.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Orenburg · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1W
23 Oct2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Orenburg#6
0-1W
19 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Orenburg#6
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Rubin Kazan#11 vs Orenburg#6
1-4W
10 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Dynamo Makhachkala#10
4-0W
03 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Tekstilshtik#18
3-2W
03 Oct2026
Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Orenburg#6
2-0L
17 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Krasnodar#4
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Orenburg#6
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Akron Togliatti#12
2-2D
Team 2 Form
Cska Moscow · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Spartak Moscow#5
2-0W
18 Oct2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Cska Moscow#3
3-1L
14 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs fk Rostov#7
4-0W
11 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rodina Moscow#15
3-0W
04 Oct2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Arsenal Tula#10
3-1W
27 Sept2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Pari nn#1
1-3L
17 Sept2026
Dynamo Makhachkala#10 vs Cska Moscow#3
1-3W
12 Sept2026
Cska Moscow#3 vs Rubin Kazan#11
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Zenit#1 vs Cska Moscow#3
1-2W
01 Sept2026
fk Rostov#7 vs Cska Moscow#3
2-0L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Jul2026
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
2-2•
11 Jul2026
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
2-0•
29 Nov2025
Cska Moscow#3 vs Orenburg#6
2-0•
21 Jul2025
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
0-0•
12 Apr2025
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
0-2•
04 Aug2024
Cska Moscow#3 vs Orenburg#6
5-1•
02 Mar2024
Cska Moscow#3 vs Orenburg#6
1-1•
02 Nov2023
Cska Moscow#3 vs Orenburg#6
3-1•
25 Aug2023
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
1-1•
26 Jul2023
Orenburg#6 vs Cska Moscow#3
0-6•

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