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Football · Premier League · Russia

Krylya Sovetov vs Orenburg

Sunday, 08 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Orenburg favourites at 42% (Krylya Sovetov 35%, draw 23%). That rests on 5 wins in Orenburg's last 10 matches to 3 for Krylya Sovetov. Bookmakers give Orenburg about 32% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 55%.

Key facts

  • Orenburg are unbeaten in 6 matches.
  • Krylya Sovetov are 8th in Premier League on 15 points from 12 games; Orenburg are 6th on 16.
  • They last met on 10 May 2026, when Orenburg won 1-0.
Russia•Premier League
Rank 8 · 15 pts
W5d
L12d
L15d
D19d
W27d
D43d
W48d
D54d
D57d
D61d
3W · 5D · 2L
vs
Rank 6 · 16 pts
W1d
W6d
D10d
W14d
W19d
W26d
L26d
D42d
L47d
D53d
5W · 3D · 2L
Sunday, 08 November 2026 at 14:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 3-5-2
Last 10 matches
1010
16/1218/11
1.601.80
1.201.10
8/107/10
5/106/10
7/107/10
4/104/10
3/103/10
2/103/10
9/107/10
5/106/10
6/105/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Krylya Sovetov at homeOrenburg away
65
2/62/5
2/61/5
2/62/5
1.671.40
1.331.20
5/63/5
3/62/5
1/61/5
5/64/5
3/62/5
1/61/5
1/62/5
4/62/5
4/62/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Krylya Sovetov: 1.33
Expected Goals
Orenburg: 1.51
Krylya Sovetov
35%
Draw
23%
Orenburg
42%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 4.4%
1 — Krylya Sovetov
2.30▲
Implied 42%
Edge -6.6%
X
3.70
Implied 26%
Edge -2.9%
2 — Orenburg
2.95▼
Implied 32%
Edge +9.5%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Krylya Sovetov · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Rubin Kazan#11 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
0-2W
17 Oct2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Fakel Voronezh#16
1-2L
14 Oct2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Baltika#9
0-2L
10 Oct2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Spartak Moscow#5
1-1D
02 Oct2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Akron Togliatti#12
4-0W
16 Sept2026
Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1W
05 Sept2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Krasnodar#4
2-2D
02 Sept2026
Baltika#9 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
0-0D
29 Aug2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
3-3D
Team 2 Form
Orenburg · # = league position now
28 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Rodina Moscow#15
2-1W
23 Oct2026
Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Orenburg#6
0-1W
19 Oct2026
Rodina Moscow#15 vs Orenburg#6
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Rubin Kazan#11 vs Orenburg#6
1-4W
10 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Dynamo Makhachkala#10
4-0W
03 Oct2026
Orenburg#6 vs Tekstilshtik#18
3-2W
03 Oct2026
Lokomotiv Moscow#13 vs Orenburg#6
2-0L
17 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Krasnodar#4
0-0D
12 Sept2026
Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Orenburg#6
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Orenburg#6 vs Akron Togliatti#12
2-2D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
Orenburg#6 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
1-0•
04 Mar2026
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
2-0•
18 Oct2025
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
1-1•
27 Apr2025
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
2-0•
20 Oct2024
Orenburg#6 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
2-2•
04 May2024
Orenburg#6 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
2-1•
28 Oct2023
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
1-1•
02 Apr2023
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
1-1•
03 Feb2023
Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Orenburg#6
3-3•
16 Jul2022
Orenburg#6 vs Krylya Sovetov#8
2-4•

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