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Football · Premier League · Russia

Fakel Voronezh vs Dynamo Moscow

Saturday, 07 November 2026

Match preview

The model makes Dynamo Moscow favourites at 80% (Fakel Voronezh 6%, draw 14%). That rests on expected goals of 2.19 to 0.39, Dynamo Moscow sitting 2nd in the table to Fakel Voronezh's 16th and 8 wins in Dynamo Moscow's last 10 matches to 3 for Fakel Voronezh. Bookmakers give Dynamo Moscow about 59% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 45% and both teams scoring at 39%.

Key facts

Dynamo Moscow scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
They last met on 5 Aug 2026, when Dynamo Moscow won 1-0.
Dynamo Moscow have scored in all of their last 5 away games.

Russia•Premier League

Fakel Voronezh(3)

Rank 16 · 6 pts

D2d

L5d

W12d

W16d

L19d

W26d

L43d

D47d

L54d

D58d

3W · 3D · 4L

Dynamo Moscow(3)

Rank 2 · 25 pts

L2d

L5d

W11d

W15d

W18d

W25d

W42d

W47d

W53d

W56d

8W · 0D · 2L

Saturday, 07 November 2026 at 14:00

H2H: 3-4-3

Last 10 matches

1010

9/1420/10

0.902.00

1.401.00

6/1010/10

3/106/10

7/106/10

3/103/10

3/104/10

4/100/10

6/108/10

4/108/10

4/106/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Fakel Voronezh at homeDynamo Moscow away

1/63/5

3/60/5

2/62/5

0.671.60

1.501.20

3/65/5

1/62/5

0/61/5

4/63/5

2/62/5

3/60/5

2/64/5

2/63/5

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Fakel Voronezh: 0.39

Expected Goals

Dynamo Moscow: 2.19

Fakel Voronezh

Draw

14%

Dynamo Moscow

80%

Over 2.5: 45%

BTTS: 39%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Vig 3.5%

1 — Fakel Voronezh

5.60

Implied 17%

Edge -11.3%

4.00▲

Implied 24%

Edge -10.2%

2 — Dynamo Moscow

1.65

Implied 59%

Edge +21.4%

Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.

Team 1 Form

Fakel Voronezh · # = league position now

27 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Akhmat Grozny#14

0-0D

24 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Rodina Moscow#15

0-1L

17 Oct2026

Krylya Sovetov#8 vs Fakel Voronezh#16

1-2W

13 Oct2026

Krasnodar#4 vs Fakel Voronezh#16

0-2W

10 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Lokomotiv Moscow#13

0-5L

03 Oct2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Vitebsk#6

1-0W

16 Sept2026

Spartak Moscow#5 vs Fakel Voronezh#16

1-0L

12 Sept2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Baltika#9

2-2D

05 Sept2026

fk Rostov#7 vs Fakel Voronezh#16

3-1L

01 Sept2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Krasnodar#4

1-1D

Team 2 Form

Dynamo Moscow · # = league position now

27 Oct2026

Krasnodar#4 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

2-1L

24 Oct2026

Akron Togliatti#12 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

3-1L

18 Oct2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Cska Moscow#3

3-1W

14 Oct2026

Akhmat Grozny#14 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

1-2W

11 Oct2026

Rubin Kazan#11 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

0-1W

04 Oct2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Rodina Moscow#15

3-2W

17 Sept2026

fk Rostov#7 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

0-3W

12 Sept2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Orenburg#6

1-0W

06 Sept2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Spartak Moscow#5

2-1W

03 Sept2026

Dynamo Moscow#2 vs Akhmat Grozny#14

3-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

05 Aug2026

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

0-1•

24 Nov2024

Fakel Voronezh#16 vs Dynamo Moscow#2

1-1•

20 Jul2024