Daily picks

Estimated probability: 72%. America MG are 3-0-7 in their last 10, averaging 0.8 goals, and lost 3-0 to Juventude in May; the model gives Juventude or draw 90% (win 69%). Main risk: America MG won 3 of their last 5 at home, and Juventude have lost 2 of their last 3.

Published 28 Sept 2026, 06:11 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 03:31 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

America MG10%

Draw21%

Juventude69%

Serie B

01:30 AM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Lesotho

FormLLDWD

Morocco

FormWLWDW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 16:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Morocco or draw

Final result

0-2

Estimated probability: 83%. Model 59/23/18 (double chance 82%). Morocco are 6-3-1 in their last 10 (22 scored, 7 conceded) and beat Lesotho 7-0 and 1-0 in the last two meetings; Lesotho are 2-3-5 with 15 conceded. Main risk: Away qualifier on a difficult pitch; Lesotho have 2 wins and 2 draws in their last four home games.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 17:55 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-2
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Lesotho18%

Draw23%

Morocco59%

Africa Cup of Nations

04:00 PM GMT+3

2 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

South Sudan

FormLLWLD

Egypt

FormDLDDW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 16:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Egypt or draw

Final result

0-5

Estimated probability: 82%. Model 63/21/16 (double chance 84%). Egypt are unbeaten in 8 of their last 10 and won the only meeting 3-0; South Sudan are 1-3-6 with 16 conceded. Main risk: Egypt have drawn 5 of their last 10 and won only 3, so the attack has been blunt.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 17:58 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-5
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

South Sudan16%

Draw21%

Egypt63%

Africa Cup of Nations

04:00 PM GMT+3

1 recent head-to-head meeting available

FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Zambia

FormLLLDD

Togo

FormWWDWD

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Togo or draw

Final result

2-0

Estimated probability: 75%. Model 15/24/61 (double chance 85%). Zambia are 1-2-7 in their last 10 with 21 conceded and lost their group opener 1-3; Togo are 4-3-3 and won their opener. Togo won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Main risk: Zambia at home; last two H2H meetings are from 2008 and 2016, so the head-to-head is old.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 21:26 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-0
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

Zambia15%

Draw24%

Togo61%

Africa Cup of Nations

07:00 PM GMT+3

8 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Guinea Bissau

FormWDLLL

Nigeria

FormWLDWW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Nigeria or draw

Final result

3-0

Estimated probability: 77%. Model 20/23/57 (double chance 80%). Nigeria are 5-4-1 in their last 10 and won 3 of the last 4 meetings; Guinea Bissau are 2-2-6 with 14 conceded. Main risk: Guinea Bissau won the March 2023 meeting 1-0 and won their group opener; Nigeria drew 4 of the last 10.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 21:03 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-0
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

Guinea Bissau20%

Draw23%

Nigeria57%

Africa Cup of Nations

07:00 PM GMT+3

4 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonriskyClaudeAuto

Finland

FormWLLDW

Belarus

FormLDWWW

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Finland or draw

Final result

0-0

Estimated probability: 68%. Model 53/21/26 (double chance 74%). Finland are unbeaten in all 5 recorded meetings with Belarus and won 2 of their last 3 at home (W4-0, W2-1); Belarus have lost 3 of their last 5 away. Main risk: Finland are only 4-1-5 in their last 10 and conceded 4 twice on the road; thin edge.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 20:56 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-0
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Finland53%

Draw21%

Belarus26%

UEFA Nations League

07:00 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Moldova

FormLDDLL

Faroe Islands

FormDWLWW

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 19:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Faroe Islands or draw

Final result

1-1

Estimated probability: 76%. Model 18/21/61 (double chance 82%). Faroe Islands are 6-1-3 in their last 10 with 8 conceded; Moldova are 0-3-7 with 30 conceded. Both recent meetings in Moldova ended 1-1. Main risk: Moldova won the most recent meeting 1-0 (Sep 2023, in the Faroes).

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 20:52 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Moldova18%

Draw21%

Faroe Islands61%

UEFA Nations League

07:00 PM GMT+3

4 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Boreham Wood

FormWDWWD

Kidderminster

FormLDWWW

Country: England
League: National League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Boreham Wood or draw

Final result

3-1

Estimated probability: 81%. Model 62/20/18 (double chance 82%). Boreham Wood top the National League unbeaten at 8-2-0, including 4-1-0 at home, with 23 scored and 9 conceded in their last 10. Main risk: Kidderminster are 7th, 5-3-2 with only 8 conceded, and won 2-0 at Boreham Wood in 2016.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 22:54 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→3-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Boreham Wood62%

Draw20%

Kidderminster18%

National League

09:00 PM GMT+3

4 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Spain

FormWWWWW

Croatia

FormWLWWL

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Spain or draw

Final result

4-1

Estimated probability: 80%. Model 61/20/19 (double chance 81%). Spain are 9-1-0 in their last 10 (20 scored, 4 conceded) and are unbeaten in the last 3 meetings (3-0, 0-0, 5-3); Croatia are 6-0-4 and conceded 17 in 10. Main risk: Croatia beat Spain 3-2 in 2018 and 2-1 in 2016 and are capable of a one-off upset.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:39 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→4-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Spain61%

Draw20%

Croatia19%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostbalancedClaudeAuto

Czech Republic

FormLLDLW

England

FormLWLWW

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Over 2.5 goals

Final result

0-2

Estimated probability: 68%. Model over 2.5 at 74% (Poisson 75, empirical 80) with xG 1.71 v 2.20. 8 of the last 10 for both Czech Republic and England went over 2.5; both lost their openers 1-2 and 2-3. Main risk: Only 3 of the last 5 meetings went over and competitive internationals can turn cagey.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:39 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-2
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

Czech Republic31%

Draw19%

England50%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

5 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

San Marino

FormLLLDL

Albania

FormWLLLL

Country: Europe
League: UEFA Nations League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Albania to win

Final result

0-3

Estimated probability: 72%. Model 8/15/77. San Marino are 0-1-9 in their last 10 with 38 conceded; Albania have won all 4 meetings by an aggregate 13-0. Main risk: Albania are 5-0-5 with just 10 goals in 10, and San Marino lost 4 of their last 10 by a single goal.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:39 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-3
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

San Marino8%

Draw15%

Albania77%

UEFA Nations League

09:45 PM GMT+3

4 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

FC Halifax

FormLDWWW

Boston Utd

FormLWDLL

Country: England
League: National League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

FC Halifax or draw

Final result

1-1

Estimated probability: 79%. Model 64/18/18 (double chance 82%). FC Halifax are unbeaten in their last 6 at home (5-1-0) and have won the last 4 meetings with Boston Utd; Boston are 2-2-6 in their last 10. Main risk: FC Halifax are 14th with 5 league losses; Boston Utd won 3-1 in their last away game.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:36 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

FC Halifax64%

Draw18%

Boston Utd18%

National League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Hartlepool

FormLLLLL

Harrogate

FormWLLWW

Country: England
League: National League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Harrogate or draw

Final result

0-1

Estimated probability: 75%. Model 13/17/70 (double chance 87%). Hartlepool are 21st and 2-0-8 in their last 10 with 6 scored, 1-0-3 at home; Harrogate are 4th at 6-1-3 with 24 scored. Main risk: Harrogate are only 2-0-2 in their last four away games and lost 3 of 6 recorded meetings with Hartlepool.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:40 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Hartlepool13%

Draw17%

Harrogate70%

National League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Gateshead

FormLLLLL

Altrincham

FormWWWLW

Country: England
League: National League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Altrincham or draw

Final result

0-1

Estimated probability: 80%. Model 6/11/83 (double chance 94%). Gateshead are bottom, 0-2-8 in their last 10 with 26 conceded and winless in 5 at home; Altrincham won 4 of the last 6 meetings. Main risk: Altrincham lost 3 of their last 5 away games; win model looks overstated, hence double chance.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:42 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Gateshead6%

Draw11%

Altrincham83%

National League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballlostsafeClaudeAuto

Woking

FormWDDWW

Solihull Moors

FormLLWLL

Country: England
League: National League
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 21:45 GMT+3

Claude pick

Woking or draw

Final result

2-4

Estimated probability: 83%. Model 81/12/7 (double chance 93%). Woking are unbeaten in 6 home games (3-3-0) and Solihull Moors are 23rd at 1-1-8 in their last 10 with 25 conceded, 0-1-2 in their last 3 away. Main risk: Woking have only 4 wins in their last 10; their last three home meetings with Solihull Moors ended 0-0, 1-0 and 1-1.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:42 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→2-4
- Status: pending→lost

Match intelligence

Woking81%

Draw12%

Solihull Moors7%

National League

09:45 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonbalancedClaudeAuto

Congo

FormLLLDL

Cameroon

FormWWLLW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Cameroon or draw

Final result

1-1

Estimated probability: 78%. Model 18/24/58 (double chance 82%). Cameroon are 5-2-3 in their last 10 and won their opener 3-1; Congo are 1-3-6 with 17 conceded and lost their opener. Cameroon unbeaten in 5 of the last 6 meetings. Main risk: Congo won 1-0 in Cameroon in 2018; Cameroon lost 3 of their last 10.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:57 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→1-1
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Congo18%

Draw24%

Cameroon58%

Africa Cup of Nations

10:00 PM GMT+3

10 recent head-to-head meetings available

FootballwonsafeClaudeAuto

Somalia

FormLDDDW

Ivory Coast

FormWLWLW

Country: Africa
League: Africa Cup of Nations
Match time: Tue, Sep 29, 22:00 GMT+3

Claude pick

Ivory Coast or draw

Final result

0-2

Estimated probability: 86%. Model 11/22/67 (double chance 89%). Ivory Coast are 7-0-3 in their last 10 and won their opener 2-0; Somalia are 2-3-5 with 4 goals scored in 10 and lost their opener. Main risk: No recorded H2H; Somalia have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 10, but the risk is an Ivory Coast defeat, which the double chance only partly covers.

Published 29 Sept 2026, 06:10 GMT+31 update

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SettledAutomatic29 Sept 2026, 23:59 GMT+3
- Result: Not set→0-2
- Status: pending→won

Match intelligence

Somalia11%

Draw22%

Ivory Coast67%

Africa Cup of Nations

10:00 PM GMT+3