Guinea Bissau vs Nigeria

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Nigeria favourites at 57% (Guinea Bissau 20%, draw 23%). That rests on expected goals of 1.55 to 0.78, 5 wins in Nigeria's last 10 matches to 2 for Guinea Bissau and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 32% and both teams scoring at 33%. Guinea Bissau won 3-0, against the model's 57% for Nigeria.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 22 Jan 2024, when Nigeria won 1-0.
• Only 0 of the last 4 meetings had three or more goals.